Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 13/09, 16:00

Prediction: Skiljebo SK vs Korsnas IF FK

Team pages: Skiljebo SK · Korsnas IF FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

Skiljebo SK2.81

Korsnas IF FK1.13

1X2

72% 16% 12%

Skiljebo SK Draw Korsnas IF FK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Skiljebo SK 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWWDW

Korsnas IF FK 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDLDL

Head-to-head

Skiljebo SK 3–1–1 Korsnas IF FK (5 last)

Korsnas IF FK0-2Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK2-3Korsnas IF FK
Korsnas IF FK2-2Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK4-0Korsnas IF FK
Korsnas IF FK0-4Skiljebo SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skiljebo SK 1588 · Korsnas IF FK 1402

	Skiljebo SK	Draw	Korsnas IF FK
Our model	72%	16%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skiljebo SK (rating 1588 vs 1402).
H2H favours Skiljebo SK: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skiljebo SK	Korsnas IF FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	1.1 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.4 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	0.5 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +19’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skiljebo SK 3–1–1 Korsnas IF FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Korsnas IF FK	0-2 HT 0-0	Skiljebo SK
06/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	2-3 HT 1-1	Korsnas IF FK
26/04/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Korsnas IF FK	2-2 HT 1-0	Skiljebo SK
15/10/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	4-0 HT 1-0	Korsnas IF FK
05/06/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Korsnas IF FK	0-4 HT 0-1	Skiljebo SK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	20	13	5	2	47	23	44
2	Ängby IF	20	12	6	2	40	22	42
3	Sunnersta AIF	20	12	5	3	47	18	41
4	Falu BS FK	20	12	4	4	32	20	40
5	Enskede IK	21	12	4	5	33	22	40
6	Taby FK	20	10	4	6	35	21	34
7	Bollstanäs SK	20	7	7	6	38	36	28
8	FC Gute	20	7	5	8	31	29	26
9	IK Franke	20	7	4	9	33	32	25
10	Kungsängens IF	21	2	10	9	21	33	16
11	Viggbyholms IK	20	4	4	12	17	37	16
12	IFK Lidingo	20	3	5	12	21	41	14
13	Korsnas IF FK	20	2	5	13	19	47	11
14	Helges IF	20	2	4	14	16	49	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skiljebo SK	Korsnas IF FK
Sunnersta AIF	2-2 D	1-4 L
Helges IF	4-2 W	0-3 L
Falu BS FK	3-0 W	1-2 L
Kungsängens IF	3-1 W	0-2 L
Ängby IF	1-2 L	2-2 D
Enskede IK	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Skiljebo SK (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skiljebo SK

WLDWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
29/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
23/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-1	7	6	W
16/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	4-2	1	5	W
08/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
01/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
26/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
18/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
14/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
06/06	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	3-1	7	3	W

Korsnas IF FK

LWLLLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
22/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
16/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
08/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
01/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
27/06	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-5	0	2	L
21/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-4	1-4	–	–	L
14/06	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-1	2	6	W
06/06	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skiljebo SK vs Korsnas IF FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skiljebo SK win (72%). Probabilities: Skiljebo SK 72%, draw 16%, Korsnas IF FK 12%.

How many goals are expected in Skiljebo SK vs Korsnas IF FK?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Skiljebo SK 2.81 · Korsnas IF FK 1.13), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Skiljebo SK vs Korsnas IF FK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.