Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Kungsängens IF vs Falu BS FK

Team pages: Kungsängens IF · Falu BS FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Kungsängens IF0.93

Falu BS FK1.56

1X2

22% 26% 52%

Kungsängens IF Draw Falu BS FK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kungsängens IF 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDDDWL

Falu BS FK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Kungsängens IF 2–3 Falu BS FK (5 last)

Falu BS FK1-0Kungsängens IF
Kungsängens IF1-2Falu BS FK
Falu BS FK2-0Kungsängens IF
Kungsängens IF3-1Falu BS FK
Falu BS FK0-1Kungsängens IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kungsängens IF 1446 · Falu BS FK 1562

	Kungsängens IF	Draw	Falu BS FK
Our model	21%	28%	51%
Market	23%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Falu BS FK (rating 1446 vs 1562).
H2H favours Falu BS FK: 3-0-2.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kungsängens IF	Falu BS FK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.4	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.60

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +10’	3.90	3.60	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kungsängens IF 2–0–3 Falu BS FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	1-0 HT 1-0	Kungsängens IF
04/10/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Kungsängens IF	1-2 HT 0-0	Falu BS FK
07/06/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	2-0 HT 2-0	Kungsängens IF
12/10/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Kungsängens IF	3-1 HT 2-1	Falu BS FK
23/06/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Falu BS FK	0-1 HT 0-0	Kungsängens IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	21	13	5	3	49	18	44
2	Skiljebo SK	20	13	5	2	47	23	44
3	Ängby IF	20	12	6	2	40	22	42
4	Falu BS FK	20	12	4	4	32	20	40
5	Enskede IK	21	12	4	5	33	22	40
6	Taby FK	20	10	4	6	35	21	34
7	FC Gute	21	8	5	8	34	29	29
8	Bollstanäs SK	21	7	7	7	38	38	28
9	IK Franke	20	7	4	9	33	32	25
10	Kungsängens IF	21	2	10	9	21	33	16
11	Viggbyholms IK	21	4	4	13	17	40	16
12	IFK Lidingo	20	3	5	12	21	41	14
13	Korsnas IF FK	20	2	5	13	19	47	11
14	Helges IF	20	2	4	14	16	49	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kungsängens IF	Falu BS FK
Helges IF	1-1 D	2-1 W
Viggbyholms IK	1-1 D	2-0 W
IFK Lidingo	0-1 L	2-0 W
FC Gute	1-4 L	1-0 W
Skiljebo SK	1-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Falu BS FK (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kungsängens IF

DDLLLDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
05/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
30/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
22/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
15/08	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
07/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
01/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
26/06	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
21/06	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-1	8	1	D
13/06	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-1	3	1	D

Falu BS FK

LWWLLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/09	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-0	10	2	W
30/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
23/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
01/08	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
27/06	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/06	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/06	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kungsängens IF vs Falu BS FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Falu BS FK win (52%). Probabilities: Kungsängens IF 22%, draw 26%, Falu BS FK 52%.

How many goals are expected in Kungsängens IF vs Falu BS FK?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Kungsängens IF 0.93 · Falu BS FK 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kungsängens IF vs Falu BS FK?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.