Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Bollstanäs SK vs Skiljebo SK

Team pages: Bollstanäs SK · Skiljebo SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.97Total

Bollstanäs SK1.81

Skiljebo SK2.16

1X2

32% 23% 45%

Bollstanäs SK Draw Skiljebo SK

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Bollstanäs SK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWWLLL

Skiljebo SK 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Bollstanäs SK 1–1–1 Skiljebo SK (3 last)

Skiljebo SK4-4Bollstanäs SK
Bollstanäs SK3-2Skiljebo SK
Skiljebo SK2-0Bollstanäs SK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bollstanäs SK 1497 · Skiljebo SK 1569

	Bollstanäs SK	Draw	Skiljebo SK
Our model	32%	22%	46%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.97 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skiljebo SK (rating 1497 vs 1569).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bollstanäs SK	Skiljebo SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.7	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	1.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +4’	2.88	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bollstanäs SK 1–1–1 Skiljebo SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	4-4 HT 2-1	Bollstanäs SK
18/10/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Bollstanäs SK	3-2 HT 3-1	Skiljebo SK
30/03/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Skiljebo SK	2-0 HT 0-0	Bollstanäs SK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sunnersta AIF	21	13	5	3	49	18	44
2	Skiljebo SK	20	13	5	2	47	23	44
3	Ängby IF	20	12	6	2	40	22	42
4	Falu BS FK	20	12	4	4	32	20	40
5	Enskede IK	21	12	4	5	33	22	40
6	Taby FK	20	10	4	6	35	21	34
7	FC Gute	21	8	5	8	34	29	29
8	Bollstanäs SK	21	7	7	7	38	38	28
9	IK Franke	20	7	4	9	33	32	25
10	Kungsängens IF	21	2	10	9	21	33	16
11	Viggbyholms IK	21	4	4	13	17	40	16
12	IFK Lidingo	20	3	5	12	21	41	14
13	Korsnas IF FK	20	2	5	13	19	47	11
14	Helges IF	20	2	4	14	16	49	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bollstanäs SK	Skiljebo SK
Sunnersta AIF	0-2 L	2-2 D
Ängby IF	0-5 L	1-2 L
Falu BS FK	1-2 L	3-0 W
Helges IF	5-0 W	4-2 W
IK Franke	1-1 D	3-1 W
Korsnas IF FK	5-1 W	2-1 W
Viggbyholms IK	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Skiljebo SK (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bollstanäs SK

DLWDWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	0-2	11	3	L
06/09	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	0-5	5	4	L
30/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Taby FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
15/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
09/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
02/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
27/06	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	5-1	6	2	W
17/06	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
13/06	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-0	5	1	D

Skiljebo SK

LDWWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
05/09	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
29/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
23/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-1	7	6	W
16/08	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-1	4-2	1	5	W
08/08	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
01/08	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
26/06	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
18/06	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
14/06	Ängby IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bollstanäs SK vs Skiljebo SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Skiljebo SK win (45%). Probabilities: Bollstanäs SK 32%, draw 23%, Skiljebo SK 45%.

How many goals are expected in Bollstanäs SK vs Skiljebo SK?

The model expects 3.97 goals (Bollstanäs SK 1.81 · Skiljebo SK 2.16), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bollstanäs SK vs Skiljebo SK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.