Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: Taby FK vs Ängby IF

Team pages: Taby FK · Ängby IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Taby FK1.63

Ängby IF1.39

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Taby FK Draw Ängby IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Taby FK 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLWDD

Ängby IF 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

Taby FK 0–1 Ängby IF (1 last)

Ängby IF1-0Taby FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taby FK 1522 · Ängby IF 1595

	Taby FK	Draw	Ängby IF
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ängby IF (rating 1522 vs 1595).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taby FK	Ängby IF
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 12:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.11
X	3.80 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.09 ★
2	3.10 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 12.8% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +5’	1.85	3.80	3.10
21:45 +3’	2.05▲	3.70▼	2.70▼
02:04 +4’	2.30▲	3.70	2.40▼
08:33 +6’	2.30	3.75▲	2.38▼
12:14 +14’	2.05▼	3.70▼	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:23 +45’	2.09	3.94	2.51
12:13 +15’	2.11▲	4.09▲	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Taby FK 0–0–1 Ängby IF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	Ängby IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Taby FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand · Norra Svealand

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Skiljebo SK	21	14	5	2	49	24	47
2	Ängby IF	21	13	6	2	45	23	45
3	Sunnersta AIF	21	13	5	3	49	18	44
4	Falu BS FK	21	12	5	4	34	22	41
5	Enskede IK	21	12	4	5	33	22	40
6	Taby FK	21	10	5	6	37	23	35
7	FC Gute	21	8	5	8	34	29	29
8	Bollstanäs SK	21	7	7	7	38	38	28
9	IK Franke	21	7	4	10	34	37	25
10	IFK Lidingo	21	4	5	12	23	42	17
11	Kungsängens IF	21	2	10	9	21	33	16
12	Viggbyholms IK	21	4	4	13	17	40	16
13	Korsnas IF FK	21	2	5	14	20	49	11
14	Helges IF	21	2	4	15	17	51	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taby FK	Ängby IF
IK Franke	2-1 W	5-1 W
Bollstanäs SK	1-2 L	5-0 W
Sunnersta AIF	0-1 L	4-2 W
Korsnas IF FK	5-1 W	2-2 D
Enskede IK	1-2 L	0-0 D
FC Gute	2-1 W	1-0 W
IFK Lidingo	3-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ängby IF (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taby FK

WWWLWLLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Falu BS FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/08	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
16/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
08/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
02/08	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
27/06	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
21/06	Helges IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
14/06	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	3-1	3-1	1	5	W

Ängby IF

WWDWWDWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	IK Franke Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	3-0	5-1	5	4	W
06/09	Bollstanäs SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	2-0	5-0	4	4	W
30/08	Korsnas IF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-1	2-2	8	3	D
22/08	Sunnersta AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	4-2	2	5	W
15/08	Kungsängens IF Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
08/08	FC Gute Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	IFK Lidingo Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-2	3-2	8	4	W
24/06	Enskede IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
18/06	Viggbyholms IK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
14/06	Skiljebo SK Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	1-1	2-1	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taby FK vs Ängby IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taby FK win (43%). Probabilities: Taby FK 43%, draw 25%, Ängby IF 32%.

How many goals are expected in Taby FK vs Ängby IF?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Taby FK 1.63 · Ängby IF 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Taby FK vs Ängby IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.