Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 19/09, 12:00

Prediction: Nacka FC vs Ragsveds IF

Team pages: Nacka FC · Ragsveds IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Nacka FC1.66

Ragsveds IF1.27

1X2

46% 25% 29%

Nacka FC Draw Ragsveds IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Nacka FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWLDL

Ragsveds IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLLWWW

Head-to-head

Nacka FC 1–2 Ragsveds IF (3 last)

Ragsveds IF1-0Nacka FC
Ragsveds IF3-1Nacka FC
Nacka FC4-0Ragsveds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacka FC 1478 · Ragsveds IF 1511

	Nacka FC	Draw	Ragsveds IF
Our model	45%	26%	28%
Market	46%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ragsveds IF: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacka FC	Ragsveds IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.6	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 02:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 1.95▼	Pinn 2.01 ★
X	3.50 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	2.35 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +4’	2.50	3.50	2.35
21:27 +11’	2.45▼	3.60▲	2.30▼
01:35 +30’	1.95▼	3.70▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +1’	2.20	3.59	2.55
00:47 +79’	2.01▼	3.68▲	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacka FC 1–0–2 Ragsveds IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Ragsveds IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Nacka FC
27/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Ragsveds IF	3-1 HT 2-0	Nacka FC
28/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Nacka FC	4-0 HT 2-0	Ragsveds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	21	13	4	4	47	32	43
2	FOC Farsta	21	13	3	5	47	22	42
3	Nykopings BIS	21	12	3	6	37	21	39
4	BK Forward	21	12	3	6	40	26	39
5	IFK Haninge	21	11	3	7	49	38	36
6	Smedby AIS	21	10	5	6	39	29	35
7	Ragsveds IF	21	10	5	6	40	33	35
8	Fittja IF	21	9	3	9	34	34	30
9	Karlslunds IF FK	21	6	6	9	28	35	24
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	21	7	2	12	22	25	23
11	Syrianska FC	21	5	5	11	30	48	20
12	Nacka FC	21	5	3	13	22	40	18
13	Lindö FF	21	5	2	14	27	41	17
14	IF Eker Örebro	21	4	3	14	22	60	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacka FC	Ragsveds IF
IK Sleipner	0-1 L	0-4 L
FOC Farsta	1-4 L	1-1 D
BK Forward	1-0 W	1-2 L
Lindö FF	1-1 D	2-1 W
Nykopings BIS	1-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ragsveds IF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nacka FC

LLLDWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	10	5	L
05/09	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
28/08	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-4	8	4	L
22/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	16	4	W
09/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
01/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
25/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	1-4	3	0	L
21/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
14/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-4	2	4	L

Ragsveds IF

DDLDWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-4	1	5	L
16/08	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
08/08	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
31/07	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	12	4	D
28/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
22/06	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
13/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-4	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacka FC vs Ragsveds IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacka FC win (46%). Probabilities: Nacka FC 46%, draw 25%, Ragsveds IF 29%.

How many goals are expected in Nacka FC vs Ragsveds IF?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Nacka FC 1.66 · Ragsveds IF 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacka FC vs Ragsveds IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.