Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Karlslunds IF FK vs BK Forward

Team pages: Karlslunds IF FK · BK Forward

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Karlslunds IF FK1.27

BK Forward1.91

1X2

25% 24% 52%

Karlslunds IF FK Draw BK Forward

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Karlslunds IF FK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWWDLW

BK Forward 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Karlslunds IF FK 1–3–2 BK Forward (6 last)

BK Forward2-2Karlslunds IF FK
Karlslunds IF FK2-2BK Forward
Karlslunds IF FK1-1BK Forward
BK Forward2-0Karlslunds IF FK
Karlslunds IF FK3-1BK Forward
BK Forward3-1Karlslunds IF FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karlslunds IF FK 1535 · BK Forward 1529

	Karlslunds IF FK	Draw	BK Forward
Our model	24%	24%	51%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours BK Forward: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karlslunds IF FK	BK Forward
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.4	2.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.90

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:14 +41’	3.60	3.90	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karlslunds IF FK 1–3–2 BK Forward

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	BK Forward	2-2 HT 2-2	Karlslunds IF FK
29/02/20 Club Friendly List	Karlslunds IF FK	2-2 HT 2-1	BK Forward
30/08/19 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlslunds IF FK	1-1 HT 0-1	BK Forward
20/06/19 Sweden 1.div Norra	BK Forward	2-0 HT 1-0	Karlslunds IF FK
25/08/18 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlslunds IF FK	3-1 HT 2-0	BK Forward
06/06/18 Sweden 1.div Norra	BK Forward	3-1 HT 1-1	Karlslunds IF FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	22	13	4	5	48	35	43
2	FOC Farsta	22	13	3	6	47	25	42
3	BK Forward	22	13	3	6	42	26	42
4	Nykopings BIS	22	12	3	7	37	22	39
5	IFK Haninge	22	12	3	7	54	42	39
6	Smedby AIS	22	10	5	7	39	30	35
7	Ragsveds IF	22	10	5	7	40	34	35
8	Fittja IF	22	10	3	9	35	34	33
9	Karlslunds IF FK	22	7	6	9	31	35	27
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	22	8	2	12	23	25	26
11	Syrianska FC	22	6	5	11	33	49	23
12	Nacka FC	22	6	3	13	23	40	21
13	Lindö FF	22	5	2	15	27	43	17
14	IF Eker Örebro	22	4	3	15	26	65	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karlslunds IF FK	BK Forward
FOC Farsta	3-0 W	1-2 L
Örebro Syrianska IF	0-3 L	1-1 D
Syrianska FC	3-1 W	5-0 W
Lindö FF	1-0 W	2-0 W
Smedby AIS	1-1 D	1-3 L
Fittja IF	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: BK Forward (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karlslunds IF FK

WDLDWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	2	1	W
12/09	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
30/08	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
15/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
08/08	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-2	2-4	1	1	L
28/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
21/06	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

BK Forward

WWWDWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
06/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-3	1-3	7	3	L
22/08	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	5-0	9	2	W
08/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
28/06	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
21/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karlslunds IF FK vs BK Forward?

According to our model, the most likely result is an BK Forward win (52%). Probabilities: Karlslunds IF FK 25%, draw 24%, BK Forward 52%.

How many goals are expected in Karlslunds IF FK vs BK Forward?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Karlslunds IF FK 1.27 · BK Forward 1.91), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Karlslunds IF FK vs BK Forward?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.