Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: IK Sleipner vs FOC Farsta

Team pages: IK Sleipner · FOC Farsta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

IK Sleipner1.87

FOC Farsta1.89

1X2

38% 24% 39%

IK Sleipner Draw FOC Farsta

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Sleipner 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWWWL

FOC Farsta 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

IK Sleipner 3–2 FOC Farsta (5 last)

FOC Farsta4-1IK Sleipner
FOC Farsta6-1IK Sleipner
IK Sleipner3-0FOC Farsta
IK Sleipner3-2FOC Farsta
FOC Farsta0-2IK Sleipner

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Sleipner 1523 · FOC Farsta 1571

	IK Sleipner	Draw	FOC Farsta
Our model	38%	23%	39%
Market	37%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FOC Farsta (rating 1523 vs 1571).
H2H favours IK Sleipner: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Sleipner	FOC Farsta
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.6	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.70

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:54 +6’	2.40	3.70	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Sleipner 3–0–2 FOC Farsta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	4-1 HT 0-1	IK Sleipner
04/10/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	6-1 HT 4-0	IK Sleipner
03/05/25 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	3-0 HT 1-0	FOC Farsta
23/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IK Sleipner	3-2 HT 2-1	FOC Farsta
03/06/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	0-2 HT 0-1	IK Sleipner

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	22	13	4	5	48	35	43
2	FOC Farsta	22	13	3	6	47	25	42
3	BK Forward	22	13	3	6	42	26	42
4	Nykopings BIS	22	12	3	7	37	22	39
5	IFK Haninge	22	12	3	7	54	42	39
6	Smedby AIS	22	10	5	7	39	30	35
7	Ragsveds IF	22	10	5	7	40	34	35
8	Fittja IF	22	10	3	9	35	34	33
9	Karlslunds IF FK	22	7	6	9	31	35	27
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	22	8	2	12	23	25	26
11	Syrianska FC	22	6	5	11	33	49	23
12	Nacka FC	22	6	3	13	23	40	21
13	Lindö FF	22	5	2	15	27	43	17
14	IF Eker Örebro	22	4	3	15	26	65	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Sleipner	FOC Farsta
Nacka FC	1-0 W	4-1 W
Örebro Syrianska IF	3-1 W	2-0 W
IF Eker Örebro	7-1 W	4-1 W
Ragsveds IF	4-0 W	1-1 D
Nykopings BIS	0-1 L	3-0 W
Karlslunds IF FK	4-2 W	0-3 L
IFK Haninge	1-6 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Sleipner

DLWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-3	10	1	L
12/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	7-1	–	–	W
22/08	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
13/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
09/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-2	8	1	W
27/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-6	5	4	L
22/06	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	1-1	4	5	D

FOC Farsta

LWDDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
12/09	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	3-0	2	1	W
06/09	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	4-1	2	4	W
23/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
08/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
31/07	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
27/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Sleipner vs FOC Farsta?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FOC Farsta win (39%). Probabilities: IK Sleipner 38%, draw 24%, FOC Farsta 39%.

How many goals are expected in IK Sleipner vs FOC Farsta?

The model expects 3.77 goals (IK Sleipner 1.87 · FOC Farsta 1.89), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Sleipner vs FOC Farsta?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.