Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: IFK Haninge vs Smedby AIS

Team pages: IFK Haninge · Smedby AIS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

IFK Haninge2.37

Smedby AIS1.5

1X2

56% 21% 23%

IFK Haninge Draw Smedby AIS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Haninge 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Smedby AIS 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

IFK Haninge 4–1 Smedby AIS (5 last)

Smedby AIS1-4IFK Haninge
IFK Haninge5-0Smedby AIS
Smedby AIS0-2IFK Haninge
Smedby AIS0-3IFK Haninge
IFK Haninge0-3Smedby AIS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Haninge 1484 · Smedby AIS 1485

	IFK Haninge	Draw	Smedby AIS
Our model	56%	21%	23%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours IFK Haninge: 4-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Haninge	Smedby AIS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.10

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:24 +32’	1.61	4.10	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Haninge 4–0–1 Smedby AIS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	1-4 HT 0-3	IFK Haninge
14/09/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IFK Haninge	5-0 HT 2-0	Smedby AIS
19/05/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	0-2 HT 0-0	IFK Haninge
19/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Smedby AIS	0-3 HT 0-0	IFK Haninge
23/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	IFK Haninge	0-3 HT 0-1	Smedby AIS

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	22	13	4	5	48	35	43
2	FOC Farsta	22	13	3	6	47	25	42
3	BK Forward	22	13	3	6	42	26	42
4	Nykopings BIS	22	12	3	7	37	22	39
5	IFK Haninge	22	12	3	7	54	42	39
6	Smedby AIS	22	10	5	7	39	30	35
7	Ragsveds IF	22	10	5	7	40	34	35
8	Fittja IF	22	10	3	9	35	34	33
9	Karlslunds IF FK	22	7	6	9	31	35	27
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	22	8	2	12	23	25	26
11	Syrianska FC	22	6	5	11	33	49	23
12	Nacka FC	22	6	3	13	23	40	21
13	Lindö FF	22	5	2	15	27	43	17
14	IF Eker Örebro	22	4	3	15	26	65	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Haninge	Smedby AIS
IF Eker Örebro	5-4 W	1-0 W
Syrianska FC	0-2 L	2-2 D
Lindö FF	6-1 W	0-2 L
Karlslunds IF FK	0-3 L	1-1 D
FOC Farsta	2-2 D	0-3 L
Fittja IF	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Haninge (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Haninge

WWWDLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-2	5-4	10	5	W
14/09	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
04/09	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-2	8	4	L
30/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-1	6-1	7	2	W
22/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	2-2	6	7	D
15/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
02/08	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
27/06	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	6-1	4	4	W
21/06	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-0	4-1	4	3	W

Smedby AIS

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
12/09	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
29/08	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	3-1	3-1	3	3	W
22/08	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
15/08	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
08/08	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
24/06	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-3	1-4	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Haninge vs Smedby AIS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Haninge win (56%). Probabilities: IFK Haninge 56%, draw 21%, Smedby AIS 23%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Haninge vs Smedby AIS?

The model expects 3.87 goals (IFK Haninge 2.37 · Smedby AIS 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Haninge vs Smedby AIS?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.