Football · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: FOC Farsta vs Karlslunds IF FK

Team pages: FOC Farsta · Karlslunds IF FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

FOC Farsta2.45

Karlslunds IF FK0.98

1X2

69% 18% 13%

FOC Farsta Draw Karlslunds IF FK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FOC Farsta 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWWWWW

Karlslunds IF FK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWWWDL

Head-to-head

FOC Farsta 1–2 Karlslunds IF FK (3 last)

Karlslunds IF FK1-0FOC Farsta
FOC Farsta1-0Karlslunds IF FK
Karlslunds IF FK2-1FOC Farsta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FOC Farsta 1585 · Karlslunds IF FK 1507

	FOC Farsta	Draw	Karlslunds IF FK
Our model	69%	19%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FOC Farsta (rating 1585 vs 1507).
H2H favours Karlslunds IF FK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FOC Farsta	Karlslunds IF FK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.7	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:31 +2’	1.30	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FOC Farsta 1–0–2 Karlslunds IF FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Karlslunds IF FK	1-0 HT 0-0	FOC Farsta
13/08/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	FOC Farsta	1-0 HT 1-0	Karlslunds IF FK
15/04/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	Karlslunds IF FK	2-1 HT 0-1	FOC Farsta

Standings · Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand · Sodra Svealand

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Sleipner	21	13	4	4	47	32	43
2	FOC Farsta	21	13	3	5	47	22	42
3	Nykopings BIS	21	12	3	6	37	21	39
4	BK Forward	21	12	3	6	40	26	39
5	IFK Haninge	20	11	3	6	49	36	36
6	Smedby AIS	21	10	5	6	39	29	35
7	Ragsveds IF	21	10	5	6	40	33	35
8	Fittja IF	21	9	3	9	34	34	30
9	Karlslunds IF FK	21	6	6	9	28	35	24
10	Örebro Syrianska IF	21	7	2	12	22	25	23
11	Nacka FC	21	5	3	13	22	40	18
12	Lindö FF	21	5	2	14	27	41	17
13	Syrianska FC	20	4	5	11	28	48	17
14	IF Eker Örebro	21	4	3	14	22	60	15
15	IF Sylvia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FOC Farsta	Karlslunds IF FK
Smedby AIS	3-0 W	1-1 D
BK Forward	2-1 W	2-2 D
Örebro Syrianska IF	2-0 W	0-3 L
IFK Haninge	2-2 D	3-0 W
IF Eker Örebro	4-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FOC Farsta (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FOC Farsta

WLWDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	3-0	2	1	W
06/09	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	Nacka FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	4-1	2	4	W
23/08	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	Nykopings BIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
08/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
31/07	Ragsveds IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
27/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/06	Karlslunds IF FK Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
13/06	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	4-0	6	0	W

Karlslunds IF FK

DWDLDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Örebro Syrianska IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	IF Eker Örebro Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
30/08	Syrianska FC Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Lindö FF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
15/08	IFK Haninge Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
08/08	Smedby AIS Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	IK Sleipner Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-2	2-4	1	1	L
28/06	Fittja IF Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	1-0	2-2	6	6	D
21/06	FOC Farsta Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/06	BK Forward Sweden 2.div Södra Svealand	2-2	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FOC Farsta vs Karlslunds IF FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FOC Farsta win (69%). Probabilities: FOC Farsta 69%, draw 18%, Karlslunds IF FK 13%.

How many goals are expected in FOC Farsta vs Karlslunds IF FK?

The model expects 3.43 goals (FOC Farsta 2.45 · Karlslunds IF FK 0.98), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FOC Farsta vs Karlslunds IF FK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.