Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 19/09, 13:00

Prediction: BK Astrio vs Onsala BK

Team pages: BK Astrio · Onsala BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

BK Astrio1.1

Onsala BK1.96

1X2

21% 22% 57%

BK Astrio Draw Onsala BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Astrio 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Onsala BK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLLLLW

Head-to-head

BK Astrio 3–2–1 Onsala BK (6 last)

Onsala BK0-0BK Astrio
BK Astrio1-3Onsala BK
Onsala BK2-2BK Astrio
Onsala BK0-3BK Astrio
BK Astrio2-0Onsala BK
Onsala BK1-2BK Astrio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Astrio 1352 · Onsala BK 1481

	BK Astrio	Draw	Onsala BK
Our model	20%	24%	56%
Market	21%	21%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Onsala BK (rating 1352 vs 1481).
H2H favours BK Astrio: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Astrio	Onsala BK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3.1	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/10/90%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.3	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.20

X4.20

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +14’	4.20	4.20	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Astrio 3–2–1 Onsala BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	0-0 HT 0-0	BK Astrio
21/09/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	1-3 HT 1-1	Onsala BK
12/04/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	2-2 HT 1-1	BK Astrio
13/08/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	0-3 HT 0-2	BK Astrio
15/04/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	2-0 HT 1-0	Onsala BK
26/06/22 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	1-2 HT 1-1	BK Astrio

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	21	15	2	4	37	17	47
2	Hestrafors IF	21	12	4	5	46	34	40
3	Dalstorps IF	21	11	6	4	41	23	39
4	Jonsereds IF	21	11	5	5	38	34	38
5	Lindome GIF	21	10	4	7	39	31	34
6	Västra Frölunda IF	21	9	6	6	41	34	33
7	IF Boljan	21	9	5	7	34	29	32
8	Qviding FIF	21	9	4	8	41	40	31
9	Onsala BK	21	6	6	9	29	35	24
10	Astorps FF	21	6	5	10	26	36	23
11	Torslanda IK	21	5	7	9	33	38	22
12	IK Kongahälla	21	5	6	10	29	40	21
13	Galtabäcks BK	21	4	5	12	28	35	17
14	BK Astrio	21	1	3	17	15	51	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Astrio	Onsala BK
IK Kongahälla	1-5 L	0-0 D
Jonsereds IF	2-4 L	1-2 L
IF Boljan	0-1 L	3-0 W
Lindome GIF	0-2 L	1-4 L
Torslanda IK	0-6 L	1-1 D
Dalstorps IF	0-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Onsala BK (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Astrio

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
06/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	2-4	2	3	L
22/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
09/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-6	1	2	L
02/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
27/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-4	1	0	L
11/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	4	5	L

Onsala BK

DWLDWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
05/09	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	4	0	L
29/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
23/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	10	3	L
08/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
31/07	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
26/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	2-4	9	3	L
18/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
14/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Astrio vs Onsala BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Onsala BK win (57%). Probabilities: BK Astrio 21%, draw 22%, Onsala BK 57%.

How many goals are expected in BK Astrio vs Onsala BK?

The model expects 3.06 goals (BK Astrio 1.1 · Onsala BK 1.96), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Astrio vs Onsala BK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.