Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Onsala BK vs Qviding FIF

Team pages: Onsala BK · Qviding FIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Onsala BK1.97

Qviding FIF1.65

1X2

45% 23% 32%

Onsala BK Draw Qviding FIF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Onsala BK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLLLWW

Qviding FIF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Onsala BK 5–1 Qviding FIF (6 last)

Qviding FIF1-2Onsala BK
Qviding FIF3-1Onsala BK
Onsala BK3-2Qviding FIF
Qviding FIF0-2Onsala BK
Onsala BK4-0Qviding FIF
Qviding FIF1-3Onsala BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Onsala BK 1489 · Qviding FIF 1503

	Onsala BK	Draw	Qviding FIF
Our model	45%	23%	32%
Market	45%	23%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Onsala BK: 5-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Onsala BK	Qviding FIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.90

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.98 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +37’	2.00	3.90	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:11 +13’	1.98	3.55	2.95
11:00 +5’	2.00▲	3.61▲	2.98▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Onsala BK 5–0–1 Qviding FIF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Qviding FIF	1-2 HT 1-1	Onsala BK
05/10/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Qviding FIF	3-1 HT 2-1	Onsala BK
14/06/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	3-2 HT 0-1	Qviding FIF
20/08/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Qviding FIF	0-2 HT 0-1	Onsala BK
21/04/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	4-0 HT 1-0	Qviding FIF
11/02/23 Club Friendly List	Qviding FIF	1-3 HT 0-3	Onsala BK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	23	16	3	4	41	19	51
2	Dalstorps IF	23	12	7	4	44	25	43
3	Hestrafors IF	23	12	5	6	48	38	41
4	Jonsereds IF	23	11	6	6	39	37	39
5	Lindome GIF	23	10	4	9	42	37	34
6	IF Boljan	23	9	7	7	36	31	34
7	Västra Frölunda IF	22	9	6	7	42	38	33
8	Qviding FIF	22	9	4	9	42	42	31
9	Onsala BK	22	7	6	9	31	35	27
10	IK Kongahälla	23	7	6	10	35	43	27
11	Astorps FF	22	7	5	10	28	36	26
12	Torslanda IK	23	6	7	10	37	42	25
13	Galtabäcks BK	23	5	5	13	35	42	20
14	BK Astrio	23	2	3	18	21	56	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Onsala BK	Qviding FIF
BK Astrio	2-0 W	3-1 W
Galtabäcks BK	2-0 W	1-1 D
Västra Frölunda IF	1-3 L	0-5 L
Dalstorps IF	0-2 L	1-2 L
Jonsereds IF	1-2 L	1-0 W
IF Boljan	3-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Onsala BK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Onsala BK

WLDWLLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
12/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
05/09	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	4	0	L
29/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
23/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	10	3	L
08/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
31/07	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
26/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	2-4	9	3	L
18/06	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	7	2	W

Qviding FIF

WLWDLWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
13/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
06/09	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
28/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-5	1	5	L
22/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	3-0	4-1	13	0	W
14/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
07/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
02/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	3-1	6	4	W
24/06	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-5	5	3	L
18/06	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	3-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Onsala BK vs Qviding FIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Onsala BK win (45%). Probabilities: Onsala BK 45%, draw 23%, Qviding FIF 32%.

How many goals are expected in Onsala BK vs Qviding FIF?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Onsala BK 1.97 · Qviding FIF 1.65), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Onsala BK vs Qviding FIF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.