Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 27/09, 13:00

Prediction: Västra Frölunda IF vs Astorps FF

Team pages: Västra Frölunda IF · Astorps FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Västra Frölunda IF1.66

Astorps FF1.49

1X2

41% 24% 34%

Västra Frölunda IF Draw Astorps FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Västra Frölunda IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Astorps FF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Västra Frölunda IF 2–1 Astorps FF (3 last)

Astorps FF0-3Västra Frölunda IF
Astorps FF3-0Västra Frölunda IF
Västra Frölunda IF2-0Astorps FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Västra Frölunda IF 1471 · Astorps FF 1481

	Västra Frölunda IF	Draw	Astorps FF
Our model	41%	26%	34%
Market	42%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Västra Frölunda IF: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Västra Frölunda IF	Astorps FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	3.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.90

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.24 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.70 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:11 +2’	2.05	3.90	2.70
02:12 +12’	2.20▲	3.90	2.50▼
05:58 +7’	2.15▼	3.90	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:17 +7’	2.25	3.72	2.43
02:13 +11’	2.22▼	3.71▼	2.46▲
07:30 +37’	2.22	3.71	2.47▲
11:01 +5’	2.24▲	3.77▲	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Västra Frölunda IF 2–0–1 Astorps FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	0-3 HT 0-2	Västra Frölunda IF
07/09/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Astorps FF	3-0 HT 0-0	Västra Frölunda IF
06/04/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	2-0 HT 1-0	Astorps FF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	23	16	3	4	41	19	51
2	Dalstorps IF	23	12	7	4	44	25	43
3	Hestrafors IF	23	12	5	6	48	38	41
4	Jonsereds IF	23	11	6	6	39	37	39
5	Lindome GIF	23	10	4	9	42	37	34
6	IF Boljan	23	9	7	7	36	31	34
7	Västra Frölunda IF	22	9	6	7	42	38	33
8	Qviding FIF	22	9	4	9	42	42	31
9	Onsala BK	22	7	6	9	31	35	27
10	IK Kongahälla	23	7	6	10	35	43	27
11	Astorps FF	22	7	5	10	28	36	26
12	Torslanda IK	23	6	7	10	37	42	25
13	Galtabäcks BK	23	5	5	13	35	42	20
14	BK Astrio	23	2	3	18	21	56	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Västra Frölunda IF	Astorps FF
Lindome GIF	1-2 L	0-2 L
Landvetter IS	1-0 W	1-2 L
IK Kongahälla	0-4 L	2-0 W
Hestrafors IF	3-3 D	1-2 L
IF Boljan	1-2 L	1-0 W
Qviding FIF	5-0 W	1-2 L
Torslanda IK	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Västra Frölunda IF (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Västra Frölunda IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
11/09	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
05/09	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	3-1	5	0	W
28/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
23/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
14/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-4	6	3	L
08/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	3-3	5	5	D
31/07	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
24/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	5-0	5	3	W
18/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	2	1	D

Astorps FF

LDLLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
06/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
30/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
22/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	10	2	L
01/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
27/06	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
18/06	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Västra Frölunda IF vs Astorps FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Västra Frölunda IF win (41%). Probabilities: Västra Frölunda IF 41%, draw 24%, Astorps FF 34%.

How many goals are expected in Västra Frölunda IF vs Astorps FF?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Västra Frölunda IF 1.66 · Astorps FF 1.49), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Västra Frölunda IF vs Astorps FF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.