Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 24/09, 20:15

Prediction: IK Kongahälla vs Lindome GIF

Team pages: IK Kongahälla · Lindome GIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

IK Kongahälla1.8

Lindome GIF1.78

1X2

39% 23% 38%

IK Kongahälla Draw Lindome GIF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Kongahälla 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLWWW

Lindome GIF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWLLL

Head-to-head

IK Kongahälla 0–1–0 Lindome GIF (1 last)

Lindome GIF2-2IK Kongahälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Kongahälla 1513 · Lindome GIF 1507

	IK Kongahälla	Draw	Lindome GIF
Our model	39%	24%	38%
Market	39%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IK Kongahälla	Lindome GIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.6	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.90

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 8 moves · last 11:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.30▼	Pinn 2.31 ★
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	2.25 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (8)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 15%

Time*	1	X	2
07:57 +7’	2.45	3.80	2.25
17:08 +4’	2.30▼	3.80	2.38▲
22:13 +4’	2.38▲	3.70▼	2.38
22:57 +6’	2.20▼	3.80▲	2.45▲
02:02 +2’	2.35▲	3.70▼	2.38▼
06:59 +3’	2.40▲	3.50▼	2.40▲
08:55 +8’	2.35▼	3.70▲	2.38▼
11:00 +3’	2.30▼	3.90▲	2.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:53 +11’	2.26	3.47	2.54
09:13 +53’	2.35▲	3.47	2.43▼
22:14 +2’	2.40▲	3.39▼	2.42▼
22:25 +39’	2.40	3.31▼	2.42
06:01 +1’	2.40	3.11▼	2.42
06:27 +36’	2.41▲	3.09▼	2.43▲
08:40 +22’	2.36▼	3.26▲	2.38▼
09:37 +27’	2.31▼	3.47▲	2.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Kongahälla 0–1–0 Lindome GIF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Lindome GIF	2-2 HT 0-1	IK Kongahälla

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	22	15	3	4	38	18	48
2	Dalstorps IF	22	12	6	4	43	24	42
3	Hestrafors IF	22	12	4	6	47	37	40
4	Jonsereds IF	22	11	5	6	38	36	38
5	Lindome GIF	22	10	4	8	40	34	34
6	IF Boljan	22	9	6	7	35	30	33
7	Västra Frölunda IF	22	9	6	7	42	38	33
8	Qviding FIF	22	9	4	9	42	42	31
9	Onsala BK	22	7	6	9	31	35	27
10	Astorps FF	22	7	5	10	28	36	26
11	Torslanda IK	22	6	7	9	36	39	25
12	IK Kongahälla	22	6	6	10	32	41	24
13	Galtabäcks BK	22	5	5	12	32	36	20
14	BK Astrio	22	1	3	18	15	53	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Kongahälla	Lindome GIF
Hestrafors IF	3-1 W	0-2 L
BK Astrio	5-1 W	2-0 W
Landvetter IS	4-3 W	1-2 L
Astorps FF	0-2 L	2-0 W
Västra Frölunda IF	4-0 W	2-1 W
Dalstorps IF	1-4 L	2-2 D
Onsala BK	0-0 D	4-1 W
Jonsereds IF	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: IK Kongahälla (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Kongahälla

LLDLWLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	3-1	10	5	W
12/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
04/09	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	4-3	3	4	W
28/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	16	2	L
22/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
09/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
31/07	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
28/06	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	10	2	L
17/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-3	3	0	L

Lindome GIF

WDLWWWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-3	9	4	L
11/09	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-2	1	3	L
06/09	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
28/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
23/08	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
14/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
07/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
31/07	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-3	6	2	L
26/06	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
18/06	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Kongahälla vs Lindome GIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IK Kongahälla win (39%). Probabilities: IK Kongahälla 39%, draw 23%, Lindome GIF 38%.

How many goals are expected in IK Kongahälla vs Lindome GIF?

The model expects 3.59 goals (IK Kongahälla 1.8 · Lindome GIF 1.78), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in IK Kongahälla vs Lindome GIF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.