Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Torslanda IK vs IK Kongahälla

Team pages: Torslanda IK · IK Kongahälla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

Torslanda IK2.16

IK Kongahälla1.72

1X2

47% 23% 30%

Torslanda IK Draw IK Kongahälla

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Torslanda IK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLLWL

IK Kongahälla 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Torslanda IK 0–1–0 IK Kongahälla (1 last)

IK Kongahälla2-2Torslanda IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torslanda IK 1466 · IK Kongahälla 1533

	Torslanda IK	Draw	IK Kongahälla
Our model	47%	22%	30%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Kongahälla (rating 1466 vs 1533).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torslanda IK	IK Kongahälla
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.3	2.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	4 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +14’	1.91	3.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Torslanda IK 0–1–0 IK Kongahälla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	IK Kongahälla	2-2 HT 1-2	Torslanda IK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	23	16	3	4	41	19	51
2	Dalstorps IF	23	12	7	4	44	25	43
3	Hestrafors IF	23	12	5	6	48	38	41
4	Jonsereds IF	23	11	6	6	39	37	39
5	Västra Frölunda IF	23	10	6	7	44	38	36
6	Lindome GIF	23	10	4	9	42	37	34
7	IF Boljan	23	9	7	7	36	31	34
8	Qviding FIF	23	10	4	9	44	43	34
9	Onsala BK	23	7	6	10	32	37	27
10	IK Kongahälla	23	7	6	10	35	43	27
11	Astorps FF	23	7	5	11	28	38	26
12	Torslanda IK	23	6	7	10	37	42	25
13	Galtabäcks BK	23	5	5	13	35	42	20
14	BK Astrio	23	2	3	18	21	56	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torslanda IK	IK Kongahälla
Landvetter IS	1-3 L	4-3 W
Lindome GIF	3-1 W	3-2 W
Jonsereds IF	2-3 L	0-1 L
Hestrafors IF	1-3 L	3-1 W
Dalstorps IF	1-2 L	1-4 L
BK Astrio	6-0 W	5-1 W
Galtabäcks BK	2-1 W	1-3 L
Astorps FF	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Torslanda IK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torslanda IK

DWWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
18/09	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-1	2	4	W
12/09	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-3	0	0	L
05/09	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-3	2-5	2	2	L
29/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-3	1-4	6	0	L
15/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
09/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	4-0	6-0	7	2	W
01/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
27/06	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	6	2	D

IK Kongahälla

LDLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-2	1	2	W
19/09	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	3-1	10	5	W
12/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
04/09	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	4-3	3	4	W
28/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	16	2	L
22/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	4-0	8	3	W
09/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
31/07	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
28/06	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	10	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torslanda IK vs IK Kongahälla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torslanda IK win (47%). Probabilities: Torslanda IK 47%, draw 23%, IK Kongahälla 30%.

How many goals are expected in Torslanda IK vs IK Kongahälla?

The model expects 3.87 goals (Torslanda IK 2.16 · IK Kongahälla 1.72), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Torslanda IK vs IK Kongahälla?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.