Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 03/10, 13:00

Prediction: IF Boljan vs Jonsereds IF

Team pages: IF Boljan · Jonsereds IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

IF Boljan1.65

Jonsereds IF1.38

1X2

43% 25% 32%

IF Boljan Draw Jonsereds IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

IF Boljan 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWWLDD

Jonsereds IF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWLWLD

Head-to-head

IF Boljan 1–2 Jonsereds IF (3 last)

Jonsereds IF3-0IF Boljan
IF Boljan2-0Jonsereds IF
Jonsereds IF3-0IF Boljan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Boljan 1490 · Jonsereds IF 1531

	IF Boljan	Draw	Jonsereds IF
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonsereds IF (rating 1490 vs 1531).
H2H favours Jonsereds IF: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IF Boljan	Jonsereds IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.75

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +5’	2.05	3.75	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Boljan 1–0–2 Jonsereds IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Jonsereds IF	3-0 HT 2-0	IF Boljan
08/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	IF Boljan	2-0 HT 1-0	Jonsereds IF
28/03/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Jonsereds IF	3-0 HT 1-0	IF Boljan

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	23	16	3	4	41	19	51
2	Dalstorps IF	23	12	7	4	44	25	43
3	Hestrafors IF	23	12	5	6	48	38	41
4	Jonsereds IF	23	11	6	6	39	37	39
5	Västra Frölunda IF	23	10	6	7	44	38	36
6	Lindome GIF	23	10	4	9	42	37	34
7	IF Boljan	23	9	7	7	36	31	34
8	Qviding FIF	23	10	4	9	44	43	34
9	Onsala BK	23	7	6	10	32	37	27
10	IK Kongahälla	23	7	6	10	35	43	27
11	Astorps FF	23	7	5	11	28	38	26
12	Torslanda IK	23	6	7	10	37	42	25
13	Galtabäcks BK	23	5	5	13	35	42	20
14	BK Astrio	23	2	3	18	21	56	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Boljan	Jonsereds IF
Landvetter IS	1-1 D	2-2 D
Hestrafors IF	1-3 L	1-1 D
Torslanda IK	5-2 W	3-2 W
Qviding FIF	5-0 W	0-1 L
BK Astrio	1-0 W	4-2 W
Astorps FF	0-1 L	0-2 L
Onsala BK	0-3 L	2-1 W
Galtabäcks BK	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Boljan

DWLLWWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
18/09	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
11/09	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	6	3	L
05/09	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	3-0	5-2	3	2	W
28/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	4-0	5-0	3	5	W
22/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
14/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
08/08	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
31/07	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
25/06	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	9	3	D

Jonsereds IF

WWDWDWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
20/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	3-2	2	0	W
06/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
30/08	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	4-2	2	3	W
23/08	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
09/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
31/07	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	3-2	5	2	W
28/06	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Boljan vs Jonsereds IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Boljan win (43%). Probabilities: IF Boljan 43%, draw 25%, Jonsereds IF 32%.

How many goals are expected in IF Boljan vs Jonsereds IF?

The model expects 3.03 goals (IF Boljan 1.65 · Jonsereds IF 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Boljan vs Jonsereds IF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.