Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 04/10, 13:00

Prediction: BK Astrio vs Västra Frölunda IF

Team pages: BK Astrio · Västra Frölunda IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

BK Astrio1.35

Västra Frölunda IF2.6

1X2

17% 19% 63%

BK Astrio Draw Västra Frölunda IF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Astrio 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLW

Västra Frölunda IF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLWLLW

Head-to-head

BK Astrio 1–1–4 Västra Frölunda IF (6 last)

Västra Frölunda IF5-3BK Astrio
Västra Frölunda IF5-1BK Astrio
BK Astrio1-1Västra Frölunda IF
BK Astrio5-1Västra Frölunda IF
Västra Frölunda IF4-3BK Astrio
Västra Frölunda IF1-0BK Astrio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Astrio 1401 · Västra Frölunda IF 1480

	BK Astrio	Draw	Västra Frölunda IF
Our model	18%	19%	64%
Market	17%	20%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Västra Frölunda IF (rating 1401 vs 1480).
H2H favours Västra Frölunda IF: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Astrio	Västra Frölunda IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.7	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.25

X4.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.80

2 (-1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.45 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +14’	5.25	4.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +4’	4.86	4.37	1.44
11:01 +9’	4.98▲	4.47▲	1.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Astrio 1–1–4 Västra Frölunda IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	5-3 HT 2-1	BK Astrio
27/09/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	5-1 HT 3-0	BK Astrio
06/06/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	1-1 HT 0-0	Västra Frölunda IF
06/10/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	BK Astrio	5-1 HT 4-0	Västra Frölunda IF
20/06/24 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	4-3 HT 3-1	BK Astrio
23/09/23 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Västra Frölunda IF	1-0 HT 1-0	BK Astrio

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	24	17	3	4	42	19	54
2	Dalstorps IF	24	13	7	4	47	26	46
3	Jonsereds IF	24	12	6	6	40	37	42
4	Hestrafors IF	24	12	5	7	48	39	41
5	Lindome GIF	24	11	4	9	46	40	37
6	Västra Frölunda IF	23	10	6	7	44	38	36
7	IF Boljan	24	9	7	8	36	32	34
8	Qviding FIF	24	10	4	10	44	44	34
9	Onsala BK	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
10	Torslanda IK	24	7	7	10	39	42	28
11	IK Kongahälla	24	7	6	11	35	45	27
12	Astorps FF	24	7	5	12	29	41	26
13	Galtabäcks BK	24	5	5	14	38	46	20
14	BK Astrio	23	2	3	18	21	56	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Astrio	Västra Frölunda IF
Galtabäcks BK	6-3 W	1-4 L
Onsala BK	0-2 L	3-1 W
IK Kongahälla	1-5 L	0-4 L
Astorps FF	1-2 L	2-0 W
IF Boljan	0-1 L	1-2 L
Lindome GIF	0-2 L	1-2 L
Qviding FIF	1-3 L	5-0 W
Hestrafors IF	1-2 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Västra Frölunda IF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Astrio

LLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	6-3	–	–	W
19/09	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/09	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
06/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	2-4	2	3	L
22/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-2	1	2	L
09/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-4	0-6	1	2	L
02/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
27/06	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Västra Frölunda IF

WLDLWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
20/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
11/09	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
05/09	Onsala BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	3-1	5	0	W
28/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
23/08	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
14/08	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	0-4	6	3	L
08/08	Hestrafors IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	3-3	5	5	D
31/07	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
24/06	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	5-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Astrio vs Västra Frölunda IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Västra Frölunda IF win (63%). Probabilities: BK Astrio 17%, draw 19%, Västra Frölunda IF 63%.

How many goals are expected in BK Astrio vs Västra Frölunda IF?

The model expects 3.96 goals (BK Astrio 1.35 · Västra Frölunda IF 2.6), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Astrio vs Västra Frölunda IF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.