Football · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Hestrafors IF vs Onsala BK

Team pages: Hestrafors IF · Onsala BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Hestrafors IF1.93

Onsala BK1.51

1X2

47% 23% 30%

Hestrafors IF Draw Onsala BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hestrafors IF 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWWLD

Onsala BK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLWWL

Head-to-head

Hestrafors IF 1–2 Onsala BK (3 last)

Onsala BK5-1Hestrafors IF
Onsala BK0-1Hestrafors IF
Hestrafors IF1-3Onsala BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hestrafors IF 1547 · Onsala BK 1471

	Hestrafors IF	Draw	Onsala BK
Our model	47%	24%	29%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hestrafors IF (rating 1547 vs 1471).
H2H favours Onsala BK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hestrafors IF	Onsala BK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:46 +25’	1.91	3.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hestrafors IF 1–0–2 Onsala BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	5-1 HT 2-1	Hestrafors IF
23/08/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Onsala BK	0-1 HT 0-0	Hestrafors IF
23/05/25 Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	Hestrafors IF	1-3 HT 0-1	Onsala BK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland · Vastra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Landvetter IS	23	16	3	4	41	19	51
2	Dalstorps IF	23	12	7	4	44	25	43
3	Hestrafors IF	23	12	5	6	48	38	41
4	Jonsereds IF	23	11	6	6	39	37	39
5	Västra Frölunda IF	23	10	6	7	44	38	36
6	Lindome GIF	23	10	4	9	42	37	34
7	IF Boljan	23	9	7	7	36	31	34
8	Qviding FIF	23	10	4	9	44	43	34
9	Onsala BK	23	7	6	10	32	37	27
10	IK Kongahälla	23	7	6	10	35	43	27
11	Astorps FF	23	7	5	11	28	38	26
12	Torslanda IK	23	6	7	10	37	42	25
13	Galtabäcks BK	23	5	5	13	35	42	20
14	BK Astrio	23	2	3	18	21	56	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hestrafors IF	Onsala BK
Jonsereds IF	1-1 D	1-2 L
IK Kongahälla	1-3 L	0-0 D
IF Boljan	3-1 W	3-0 W
Lindome GIF	2-0 W	1-4 L
Dalstorps IF	2-2 D	0-2 L
Qviding FIF	2-1 W	1-2 L
Västra Frölunda IF	3-3 D	1-3 L
BK Astrio	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Hestrafors IF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hestrafors IF

WWDWDWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-1	9	4	D
19/09	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	1-3	4	5	L
11/09	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-1	3-1	5	3	W
06/09	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/08	Torslanda IK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
14/08	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
08/08	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-3	1	5	D
01/08	Astorps FF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
27/06	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Onsala BK

LDWLLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Qviding FIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
19/09	BK Astrio Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
12/09	Galtabäcks BK Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
05/09	Västra Frölunda IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-1	1-3	4	0	L
29/08	Dalstorps IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
23/08	Lindome GIF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
15/08	Jonsereds IF Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	1-2	10	3	L
08/08	IF Boljan Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
31/07	IK Kongahälla Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
26/06	Landvetter IS Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland	2-2	2-4	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hestrafors IF vs Onsala BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hestrafors IF win (47%). Probabilities: Hestrafors IF 47%, draw 23%, Onsala BK 30%.

How many goals are expected in Hestrafors IF vs Onsala BK?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Hestrafors IF 1.93 · Onsala BK 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hestrafors IF vs Onsala BK?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.