Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 08/08, 13:00
Prediction: Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II
Team pages: Ahlafors IF · IF Karlstad II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Ahlafors IF2.31
IF Karlstad II1.15
1X2
Ahlafors IF
Draw
IF Karlstad II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ahlafors IF
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
IF Karlstad II
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahlafors IF
2–1–1
IF Karlstad II
(4 last)
- IF Karlstad II1-4Ahlafors IF
- Ahlafors IF1-1IF Karlstad II
- IF Karlstad II1-3Ahlafors IF
- IF Karlstad II6-3Ahlafors IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahlafors IF 1544 · IF Karlstad II 1428
| Ahlafors IF | Draw | IF Karlstad II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ahlafors IF (rating 1544 vs 1428).
- H2H favours Ahlafors IF: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ahlafors IF | IF Karlstad II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 0.9 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahlafors IF 2–1–1 IF Karlstad II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IF Karlstad II | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Ahlafors IF |
| 09/10/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | Ahlafors IF | 1-1 HT 1-1 | IF Karlstad II |
| 05/06/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IF Karlstad II | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Ahlafors IF |
| 30/08/20 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland | IF Karlstad II | 6-3 HT 3-0 | Ahlafors IF |
Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna FF | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Skara | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde FK | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 29 |
| 4 | Grebbestads IF | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | Ahlafors IF | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 24 |
| 6 | Herrestads AIF | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 20 |
| 7 | Stenungsunds IF | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 19 |
| 8 | Motala AIF FK | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | IFK Kumla | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 10 | Vanersborgs FK | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 16 |
| 11 | Lidköpings FK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 12 |
| 12 | IK Tord | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 11 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | 10 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 43 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahlafors IF | IF Karlstad II |
|---|---|---|
| IFK Skövde FK | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| IK Tord | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Stenungsunds IF | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| IFK Kumla | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Grebbestads IF | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Motala AIF FK | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Ahlafors IF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahlafors IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/06 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
IF Karlstad II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/05 | Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ahlafors IF win (63%). Probabilities: Ahlafors IF 63%, draw 21%, IF Karlstad II 17%.
How many goals are expected in Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Ahlafors IF 2.31 · IF Karlstad II 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ahlafors IF vs IF Karlstad II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.