Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Lidköpings FK vs IK Tord

Team pages: Lidköpings FK · IK Tord

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Lidköpings FK1.44

IK Tord1.45

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Lidköpings FK Draw IK Tord

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Lidköpings FK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDWWWLWW

IK Tord 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLWD

Head-to-head

Lidköpings FK 2–1 IK Tord (3 last)

IK Tord0-1Lidköpings FK
Lidköpings FK0-2IK Tord
IK Tord0-1Lidköpings FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lidköpings FK 1547 · IK Tord 1471

	Lidköpings FK	Draw	IK Tord
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	37%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lidköpings FK (rating 1547 vs 1471).
H2H favours Lidköpings FK: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lidköpings FK	IK Tord
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.65 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +27’	2.40	3.50	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +56’	2.65	3.23	2.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lidköpings FK 2–0–1 IK Tord

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IK Tord	0-1 HT 0-0	Lidköpings FK
28/09/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Lidköpings FK	0-2 HT 0-1	IK Tord
01/05/25 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	IK Tord	0-1 HT 0-0	Lidköpings FK

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	25	21	3	1	59	18	66
2	Skara	25	17	5	3	52	26	56
3	IFK Skövde FK	25	14	5	6	42	26	47
4	Ahlafors IF	25	12	7	6	56	31	43
5	Grebbestads IF	25	12	4	9	44	37	40
6	Herrestads AIF	25	10	7	8	44	44	37
7	Stenungsunds IF	25	10	6	9	46	34	36
8	Lidköpings FK	25	8	6	11	32	43	30
9	Vanersborgs FK	25	8	5	12	33	43	29
10	Motala AIF FK	25	6	8	11	36	41	26
11	IFK Kumla	25	6	8	11	26	45	26
12	IK Tord	25	4	10	11	30	44	22
13	IF Karlstad II	25	3	7	15	28	47	16
14	Vänersborgs IF	25	2	3	20	24	73	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lidköpings FK	IK Tord
Motala AIF FK	3-1 W	1-1 D
Vanersborgs FK	1-0 W	2-1 W
Vänersborgs IF	5-2 W	1-0 W
Herrestads AIF	2-1 W	2-3 L
Grebbestads IF	1-0 W	1-1 D
Skara	1-1 D	1-2 L
IF Karlstad II	0-0 D	3-1 W
Stenungsunds IF	1-2 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lidköpings FK (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lidköpings FK

LDDDWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
03/10	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
26/09	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	4-1	5-2	2	4	W
13/09	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/09	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
29/08	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
21/08	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	2-2	1	2	D
16/08	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-2	3	7	L

IK Tord

LDLWLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
04/10	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-0	3-1	7	4	W
27/09	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-4	1-5	6	4	L
19/09	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
30/08	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
22/08	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-2	1-2	11	2	L
15/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
09/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-3	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lidköpings FK vs IK Tord?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lidköpings FK win (37%). Probabilities: Lidköpings FK 37%, draw 26%, IK Tord 37%.

How many goals are expected in Lidköpings FK vs IK Tord?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Lidköpings FK 1.44 · IK Tord 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lidköpings FK vs IK Tord?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.