Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Stenungsunds IF vs Husqvarna FF

Team pages: Stenungsunds IF · Husqvarna FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Stenungsunds IF1.26

Husqvarna FF1.95

1X2

24% 24% 53%

Stenungsunds IF Draw Husqvarna FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Stenungsunds IF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLWWLW

Husqvarna FF 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Stenungsunds IF 0–1 Husqvarna FF (1 last)

Husqvarna FF3-1Stenungsunds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stenungsunds IF 1527 · Husqvarna FF 1583

	Stenungsunds IF	Draw	Husqvarna FF
Our model	24%	24%	52%
Market	24%	24%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Husqvarna FF (rating 1527 vs 1583).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Stenungsunds IF	Husqvarna FF
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	2.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.7	3.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.5	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.80

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 3.75▼	Pinn 3.90 ★
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	1.61 → 1.70▲	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +9’	4.10	3.90	1.61
18:52 +7’	3.75▼	3.80▼	1.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:11 +57’	3.90	3.64	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stenungsunds IF 0–0–1 Husqvarna FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Husqvarna FF	3-1 HT 1-1	Stenungsunds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	25	21	3	1	59	18	66
2	Skara	25	17	5	3	52	26	56
3	IFK Skövde FK	25	14	5	6	42	26	47
4	Ahlafors IF	25	12	7	6	56	31	43
5	Grebbestads IF	25	12	4	9	44	37	40
6	Herrestads AIF	25	10	7	8	44	44	37
7	Stenungsunds IF	25	10	6	9	46	34	36
8	Lidköpings FK	25	8	6	11	32	43	30
9	Vanersborgs FK	25	8	5	12	33	43	29
10	Motala AIF FK	25	6	8	11	36	41	26
11	IFK Kumla	25	6	8	11	26	45	26
12	IK Tord	25	4	10	11	30	44	22
13	IF Karlstad II	25	3	7	15	28	47	16
14	Vänersborgs IF	25	2	3	20	24	73	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stenungsunds IF	Husqvarna FF
Ahlafors IF	3-1 W	0-2 L
IFK Skövde FK	0-3 L	1-0 W
IK Tord	5-1 W	3-1 W
Vanersborgs FK	0-1 L	3-1 W
Motala AIF FK	2-2 D	1-0 W
Herrestads AIF	0-1 L	1-0 W
Grebbestads IF	1-1 D	3-2 W
IFK Kumla	5-0 W	6-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Husqvarna FF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stenungsunds IF

WWDLDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
03/10	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-3	4	4	L
27/09	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	4-0	5-1	0	4	W
20/09	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/09	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
28/08	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
22/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	5-0	9	1	W
08/08	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	2-1	6	7	W

Husqvarna FF

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
03/10	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	4-0	13	2	W
26/09	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
18/09	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
13/09	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-2	10	2	L
05/09	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
30/08	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
21/08	IFK Kumla Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-0	6-2	3	2	W
14/08	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
09/08	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stenungsunds IF vs Husqvarna FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Husqvarna FF win (53%). Probabilities: Stenungsunds IF 24%, draw 24%, Husqvarna FF 53%.

How many goals are expected in Stenungsunds IF vs Husqvarna FF?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Stenungsunds IF 1.26 · Husqvarna FF 1.95), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Stenungsunds IF vs Husqvarna FF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.