Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: BK Olympic vs Angelholm

Team pages: BK Olympic · Angelholm

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

BK Olympic1.73

Angelholm1.58

1X2

41% 25% 34%

BK Olympic Draw Angelholm

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Olympic 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLDLL

Angelholm 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDLLLL

Head-to-head

BK Olympic 2–3–1 Angelholm (6 last)

Angelholm1-1BK Olympic
Angelholm0-1BK Olympic
Angelholm0-3BK Olympic
BK Olympic2-2Angelholm
Angelholm0-0BK Olympic
BK Olympic1-2Angelholm

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Olympic 1481 · Angelholm 1438

	BK Olympic	Draw	Angelholm
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK Olympic (rating 1481 vs 1438).
H2H favours BK Olympic: 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Olympic	Angelholm
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.4	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.3	1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.61
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.91 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:23 +15’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:24 +1’	2.09	3.52	2.85
10:12 +1’	2.12▲	3.61▲	2.91▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Olympic 2–3–1 Angelholm

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	1-1 HT 1-0	BK Olympic
28/03/26 Club Friendly List	Angelholm	0-1 HT 0-1	BK Olympic
15/08/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	0-3 HT 0-1	BK Olympic
19/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	2-2 HT 1-1	Angelholm
10/08/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Angelholm	0-0 HT 0-0	BK Olympic
09/05/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	BK Olympic	1-2 HT 1-1	Angelholm

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	19	11	6	2	41	21	39
2	Hässleholms IF	19	11	3	5	38	23	36
3	Atvidabergs FF	19	10	5	4	40	28	35
4	Lunds BK	19	9	7	3	41	25	34
5	FC Rosengård 1917	19	8	7	4	31	24	31
6	Ariana FC Malmo	19	8	6	5	37	29	30
7	Tvååkers IF	19	8	5	6	27	28	29
8	Jonkopings Sodra	19	7	5	7	25	19	26
9	Eskilsminne IF	19	7	4	8	30	33	25
10	BK Olympic	19	7	2	10	31	40	23
11	FC Trollhättan	19	5	7	7	24	31	22
12	Skövde AIK	19	4	9	6	18	28	21
13	Kristianstad FC	19	5	5	9	24	31	20
14	Laholms FK	19	5	3	11	25	34	18
15	Angelholm	19	3	8	8	25	31	17
16	Utsiktens BK	19	1	4	14	16	48	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Olympic	Angelholm
Tvååkers IF	3-4 L	2-3 L
Ariana FC Malmo	2-2 D	2-2 D
Jonkopings Sodra	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Angelholm (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Olympic

LDWWWWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	1-7	5	3	L
22/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-4	9	2	L
15/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
09/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
01/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	3-1	8	3	W
28/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
21/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	3-2	5	4	W
08/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	0	2	D
03/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	1	1	L

Angelholm

WDWLDDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
22/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
15/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
07/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
01/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-2	0	4	D
27/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
18/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-3	7	0	L
13/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	8	2	W
08/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
02/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Olympic vs Angelholm?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BK Olympic win (41%). Probabilities: BK Olympic 41%, draw 25%, Angelholm 34%.

How many goals are expected in BK Olympic vs Angelholm?

The model expects 3.31 goals (BK Olympic 1.73 · Angelholm 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Olympic vs Angelholm?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.