Prediction: Selfoss (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)
Expected goals: 3.94 (Selfoss (W) 1.37 · KR Reykjavik (W) 2.56). The model gives 18% home, 20% draw, 62% away. Under 4 goals (53%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Recent form leaves Selfoss (W) with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; KR Reykjavik (W) has piled up 7-2-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Selfoss (W) and 1 for KR Reykjavik (W), with 1 draw.
| Selfoss (W) | Draw | KR Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 19% | 62% |
| Market | 18% | 20% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KR Reykjavik (W) (rating 1504 vs 1572).
- H2H favours Selfoss (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Selfoss (W) | KR Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.2 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.9 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Selfoss (W) 4–1–1 KR Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild Women | KR Reykjavik (W) | 4-3 HT 0-1 | Selfoss (W) |
| 22/03/23 Iceland Cup Women | Selfoss (W) | 4-1 | KR Reykjavik (W) |
| 18/09/22 Iceland Premier League Women | KR Reykjavik (W) | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Selfoss (W) |
| 01/06/22 Iceland Premier League Women | Selfoss (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | KR Reykjavik (W) |
| 19/03/22 Iceland Cup Women | KR Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Selfoss (W) |
| 01/06/21 Iceland Cup Women | KR Reykjavik (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Selfoss (W) |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grotta (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik (W) | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Haukar (W) | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 13 |
| 5 | IA Akranes (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 10 |
| 6 | Selfoss (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Volsungur (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 8 |
| 8 | Keflavik (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 7 |
| 9 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Tindastoll (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Selfoss (W) | KR Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grotta (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| IA Akranes (W) | 1-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Volsungur (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Haukar (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Keflavik (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Tindastoll (W) | 3-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: KR Reykjavik (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Selfoss (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Haukar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Augnablik Kopavogur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
5-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
KR Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
5-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 4-3 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Keflavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/03 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Selfoss (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KR Reykjavik (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Selfoss (W) 18%, draw 20%, KR Reykjavik (W) 62%.
How many goals are expected in Selfoss (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Selfoss (W) 1.37 · KR Reykjavik (W) 2.56), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Selfoss (W) vs KR Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.