Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 16/07, 21:15

Prediction: Keflavik (W) vs Haukar (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
Keflavik (W)1.91
Haukar (W)1.81
1X2
40% 24% 36%
Keflavik (W) Draw Haukar (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Keflavik (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWLDDLWLLL
Haukar (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWWDDL
Head-to-head
Keflavik (W) 2–1–3 Haukar (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Keflavik (W) 1477 · Haukar (W) 1552
Keflavik (W)DrawHaukar (W)
Our model40%23%36%
Market40%24%36%
Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haukar (W) (rating 1477 vs 1552).
  • H2H favours Haukar (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Keflavik (W)Haukar (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.92.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.61.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 41 / 1.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.32.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Keflavik (W) 213 Haukar (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Haukar (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Keflavik (W)
01/07/25
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Keflavik (W)2-3
HT 1-1
Haukar (W)
03/05/25
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Haukar (W)2-1
HT 2-0
Keflavik (W)
15/01/22
Iceland Cup Women
Keflavik (W)1-1
HT 1-1
Haukar (W)
24/09/20
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Keflavik (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Haukar (W)
19/01/20
Iceland Cup Women
Haukar (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Keflavik (W)

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Grotta (W) 10802 261624
2 KR Reykjavik (W) 9612 241119
3 Haukar (W) 8521 181217
4 HK Kopavogur (W) 9423 211814
5 Selfoss (W) 8413 151413
6 IA Akranes (W) 9324 201511
7 Keflavik (W) 9315 181610
8 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 9315 141510
9 Volsungur (W) 10226 15198
10 Tindastoll (W) 9108 6413

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKeflavik (W)Haukar (W)
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 1-3 L 3-2 W
HK Kopavogur (W) 0-1 L 2-1 W
Grotta (W) 3-4 L 1-2 L
Volsungur (W) 1-3 L 1-1 D
Selfoss (W) 0-0 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haukar (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Keflavik (W)

WWLDDLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 1-3 L
21/06 HK Kopavogur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 0-1 37 L
13/06 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
2-1 3-4 21 L
30/05 IA Akranes (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 2-1 52 W
25/05 Volsungur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-1 1-3 43 L
20/05 Selfoss (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 0-0 71 D
15/05 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
0-0 0-0 31 D
08/05 Haukar (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 0-2 L
02/05 Tindastoll (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-1 8-2 W
26/04 Kth Women
Iceland Cup Women
3-1 8-3 W

Haukar (W)

WLWWWWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 1-2 02 L
21/06 KR Reykjavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 1-1 02 D
12/06 Volsungur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 1-1 32 D
30/05 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
3-1 3-2 W
25/05 Selfoss (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 3-1 43 W
20/05 HK Kopavogur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 2-1 12 W
08/05 Keflavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 2-0 W
02/05 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
4-0 5-4 W
26/04 Selfoss (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-1 1-2 L
18/04 Smari Women
Iceland Cup Women
6-0 8-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Keflavik (W) vs Haukar (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Keflavik (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Keflavik (W) 40%, draw 24%, Haukar (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Keflavik (W) vs Haukar (W)?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Keflavik (W) 1.91 · Haukar (W) 1.81), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Keflavik (W) vs Haukar (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.