Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 04/07, 16:00

Prediction: Volsungur (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)

Expected goals: 3.83 (Volsungur (W) 1.68 · HK Kopavogur (W) 2.15). The model gives 29% home, 23% draw, 47% away. Over 3.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Volsungur (W) is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and HK Kopavogur (W) 5-1-4 over its own.

47%2
29% 23% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volsungur (W) 1474 · HK Kopavogur (W) 1513
Volsungur (W)DrawHK Kopavogur (W)
Our model30%22%48%
Market29%24%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.83Volsungur (W) 1.68 · HK Kopavogur (W) 2.15
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 56%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Volsungur (W)HK Kopavogur (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 22.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.51.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.83.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 02.5 / 0.3

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Grotta (W) 9702 241521
2 KR Reykjavik (W) 8611 23919
3 Haukar (W) 7520 171017
4 IA Akranes (W) 8314 181310
5 HK Kopavogur (W) 7313 151310
6 Selfoss (W) 7313 131310
7 Volsungur (W) 8224 12138
8 Keflavik (W) 8215 15167
9 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 8215 12157
10 Tindastoll (W) 8107 6383

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVolsungur (W)HK Kopavogur (W)
Grotta (W) 1-2 L 2-3 L
Haukar (W) 1-1 D 1-2 L
IA Akranes (W) 2-2 D 3-1 W
Keflavik (W) 3-1 W 1-0 W
Tindastoll (W) 3-0 W 7-0 W
KR Reykjavik (W) 0-1 L 0-6 L
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 2-4 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Volsungur (W)

WLLLWWLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-2 1-2 72 L
12/06 Haukar (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 1-1 32 D
06/06 IA Akranes (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
2-2 2-2 D
30/05 Selfoss (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-2 0-2 71 L
25/05 Keflavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-1 3-1 63 W
20/05 Tindastoll (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 3-0 W
10/05 KR Reykjavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 0-1 L
03/05 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-2 2-4 L
26/04 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland Cup Women
0-6 0-7 L
19/04 Dalvik/Reynir (W)
Iceland Cup Women
5-0 6-0 W

HK Kopavogur (W)

WWLWLLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Keflavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 1-0 57 W
13/06 Tindastoll (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
7-0 7-0 W
30/05 KR Reykjavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-3 0-6 62 L
25/05 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-1 1-1 92 D
20/05 Haukar (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 1-2 112 L
10/05 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-2 2-3 L
02/05 IA Akranes (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
3-1 3-1 W
26/04 Fylkir Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-2 2-3 L
11/04 Grotta (W)
Iceland Cup Women
2-0 4-0 21 W
31/03 Haukar (W)
Iceland Cup Women
2-1 4-2 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Volsungur (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HK Kopavogur (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Volsungur (W) 29%, draw 23%, HK Kopavogur (W) 47%.

How many goals are expected in Volsungur (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Volsungur (W) 1.68 · HK Kopavogur (W) 2.15), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Volsungur (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.