Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 17/07, 21:15
Prediction: HK Kopavogur (W) vs Grotta (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
HK Kopavogur (W)1.96
Grotta (W)2
1X2
HK Kopavogur (W)
Draw
Grotta (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HK Kopavogur (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Grotta (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HK Kopavogur (W)
3–3
Grotta (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HK Kopavogur (W) 1515 · Grotta (W) 1567
| HK Kopavogur (W) | Draw | Grotta (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grotta (W) (rating 1515 vs 1567).
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HK Kopavogur (W) | Grotta (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.1 | 2.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 6.8 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.4 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HK Kopavogur (W) 3–0–3 Grotta (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | HK Kopavogur (W) |
| 11/04/26 Iceland Cup Women | HK Kopavogur (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Grotta (W) |
| 03/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women | HK Kopavogur (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Grotta (W) |
| 03/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | HK Kopavogur (W) |
| 11/04/25 Iceland Cup Women | HK Kopavogur (W) | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Grotta (W) |
| 08/07/24 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HK Kopavogur (W) |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grotta (W) | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Haukar (W) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 17 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur (W) | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Selfoss (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | IA Akranes (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 11 |
| 7 | Keflavik (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 9 | Volsungur (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
| 10 | Tindastoll (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HK Kopavogur (W) | Grotta (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IA Akranes (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Volsungur (W) | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Keflavik (W) | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Tindastoll (W) | 7-0 W | 5-0 W |
| KR Reykjavik (W) | 0-6 L | 2-0 W |
| Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Haukar (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 7 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Grotta (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HK Kopavogur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
7-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Fylkir Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Grotta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-4 | 4-5 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HK Kopavogur (W) vs Grotta (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Grotta (W) win (39%). Probabilities: HK Kopavogur (W) 38%, draw 23%, Grotta (W) 39%.
How many goals are expected in HK Kopavogur (W) vs Grotta (W)?
The model expects 3.96 goals (HK Kopavogur (W) 1.96 · Grotta (W) 2), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HK Kopavogur (W) vs Grotta (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.