Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 09/07, 21:15

Prediction: Haukar (W) vs Grotta (W)

Expected goals: 3.94 (Haukar (W) 1.95 · Grotta (W) 1.99). The model gives 37% home, 24% draw, 39% away. Over 3.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Haukar (W) sits at 6-2-2 (W-D-L), while Grotta (W) arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Haukar (W) won 3 and Grotta (W) 3.

39%2
37% 24% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haukar (W) 1545 · Grotta (W) 1564
Haukar (W)DrawGrotta (W)
Our model38%22%40%
Market37%24%39%
Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.94Haukar (W) 1.95 · Grotta (W) 1.99
Over / Under 3.25Over 3.25 · 57%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Haukar (W)Grotta (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.62.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.8 / 0.51 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.22.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 01.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Haukar (W) 303 Grotta (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Grotta (W)4-5
HT 0-4
Haukar (W)
14/08/25
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Haukar (W)1-3
HT 0-2
Grotta (W)
05/06/25
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Grotta (W)5-1
HT 1-0
Haukar (W)
30/04/24
Iceland Cup Women
Haukar (W)2-3
HT 1-2
Grotta (W)
20/08/21
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Grotta (W)1-2
HT 0-1
Haukar (W)
15/06/21
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Haukar (W)3-1
HT 0-0
Grotta (W)

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Grotta (W) 9702 241521
2 KR Reykjavik (W) 8611 23919
3 Haukar (W) 7520 171017
4 HK Kopavogur (W) 8413 191613
5 IA Akranes (W) 8314 181310
6 Selfoss (W) 7313 131310
7 Volsungur (W) 9225 15178
8 Keflavik (W) 8215 15167
9 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 8215 12157
10 Tindastoll (W) 8107 6383

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHaukar (W)Grotta (W)
KR Reykjavik (W) 1-1 D 2-0 W
Volsungur (W) 1-1 D 2-1 W
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 3-2 W 2-0 W
Selfoss (W) 3-1 W 0-3 L
HK Kopavogur (W) 2-1 W 3-2 W
Keflavik (W) 2-0 W 4-3 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 0 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Grotta (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haukar (W)

LWLWWWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 KR Reykjavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 1-1 02 D
12/06 Volsungur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 1-1 32 D
30/05 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
3-1 3-2 W
25/05 Selfoss (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 3-1 43 W
20/05 HK Kopavogur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 2-1 12 W
08/05 Keflavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 2-0 W
02/05 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
4-0 5-4 W
26/04 Selfoss (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-1 1-2 L
18/04 Smari Women
Iceland Cup Women
6-0 8-0 W
31/03 HK Kopavogur (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-2 2-4 83 L

Grotta (W)

LLWWWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 IA Akranes (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 2-1 82 W
27/06 Volsungur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
2-0 2-1 82 W
21/06 Selfoss (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 0-3 62 L
13/06 Keflavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-2 4-3 41 W
30/05 Tindastoll (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
3-0 5-0 W
25/05 KR Reykjavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 2-0 41 W
19/05 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 2-0 W
10/05 HK Kopavogur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
2-1 3-2 W
02/05 Haukar (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-4 4-5 L
19/04 Fylkir Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
1-0 1-2 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haukar (W) vs Grotta (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Grotta (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Haukar (W) 37%, draw 24%, Grotta (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Haukar (W) vs Grotta (W)?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Haukar (W) 1.95 · Grotta (W) 1.99), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Haukar (W) vs Grotta (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.