Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 23/07, 21:15

Prediction: Selfoss (W) vs Keflavik (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Selfoss (W)1.72
Keflavik (W)1.96
1X2
33% 24% 43%
Selfoss (W) Draw Keflavik (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Selfoss (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLDLWLWWW
Keflavik (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDDLWLLLW
Head-to-head
Selfoss (W) 2–1–3 Keflavik (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Selfoss (W) 1523 · Keflavik (W) 1484
Selfoss (W)DrawKeflavik (W)
Our model34%23%43%
Market33%24%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Keflavik (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Selfoss (W)Keflavik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 2.22.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.42.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 02.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Selfoss (W) 213 Keflavik (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
Iceland 1 Deild Women
Keflavik (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Selfoss (W)
02/03/24
Iceland Cup Women
Selfoss (W)0-3
HT 0-3
Keflavik (W)
16/09/23
Iceland Premier League Women
Keflavik (W)1-0Selfoss (W)
29/07/23
Iceland Premier League Women
Selfoss (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Keflavik (W)
22/05/23
Iceland Premier League Women
Keflavik (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Selfoss (W)
24/08/22
Iceland Premier League Women
Keflavik (W)0-2
HT 0-1
Selfoss (W)

Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Grotta (W) 11902 291727
2 KR Reykjavik (W) 10712 271122
3 Haukar (W) 9522 181917
4 Selfoss (W) 9513 211516
5 HK Kopavogur (W) 10424 222114
6 Keflavik (W) 10415 251613
7 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 10415 161513
8 IA Akranes (W) 10325 201711
9 Volsungur (W) 11227 15228
10 Tindastoll (W) 10109 7473

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSelfoss (W)Keflavik (W)
Tindastoll (W) 6-1 W 8-2 W
Grotta (W) 3-0 W 3-4 L
IA Akranes (W) 1-5 L 2-1 W
Volsungur (W) 2-0 W 1-3 L
Haukar (W) 1-3 L 7-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Keflavik (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Selfoss (W)

LWLDLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Tindastoll (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
3-1 6-1 W
09/07 KR Reykjavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 2-1 21 W
21/06 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 3-0 42 W
11/06 IA Akranes (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-3 1-5 60 L
30/05 Volsungur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
2-0 2-0 21 W
25/05 Haukar (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 1-3 73 L
20/05 Keflavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 0-0 11 D
15/05 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Iceland Cup Women
0-3 0-7 21 L
09/05 Tindastoll (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
2-0 3-1 W
03/05 KR Reykjavik (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 3-4 32 L

Keflavik (W)

WLDDLWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Haukar (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
3-0 7-0 52 W
27/06 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-0 1-3 L
21/06 HK Kopavogur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 0-1 37 L
13/06 Grotta (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
2-1 3-4 21 L
30/05 IA Akranes (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 2-1 52 W
25/05 Volsungur (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-1 1-3 43 L
20/05 Selfoss (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-0 0-0 71 D
15/05 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Iceland Cup Women
0-0 0-0 31 D
08/05 Haukar (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
0-1 0-2 L
02/05 Tindastoll (W)
Iceland 1 Deild Women
1-1 8-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Selfoss (W) vs Keflavik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Keflavik (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Selfoss (W) 33%, draw 24%, Keflavik (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Selfoss (W) vs Keflavik (W)?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Selfoss (W) 1.72 · Keflavik (W) 1.96), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Selfoss (W) vs Keflavik (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.