Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 23/07, 21:15
Prediction: Grotta (W) vs Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.9Total
Grotta (W)2.6
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)1.31
1X2
Grotta (W)
Draw
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grotta (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grotta (W)
3–1–2
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grotta (W) 1590 · Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 1481
| Grotta (W) | Draw | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grotta (W) (rating 1590 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Grotta (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grotta (W) | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.1 | 4.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grotta (W) 3–1–2 Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Grotta (W) |
| 17/08/24 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) |
| 16/06/24 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 6-2 HT 3-2 | Grotta (W) |
| 08/03/24 Iceland Cup Women | Grotta (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) |
| 26/08/23 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Grotta (W) | 4-2 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) |
| 18/06/23 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 5-3 | Grotta (W) |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grotta (W) | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Haukar (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 4 | Selfoss (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur (W) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 14 |
| 6 | Keflavik (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 13 |
| 7 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
| 8 | IA Akranes (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Volsungur (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 8 |
| 10 | Tindastoll (W) | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grotta (W) | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) |
|---|---|---|
| HK Kopavogur (W) | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Haukar (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| IA Akranes (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Volsungur (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Keflavik (W) | 4-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Tindastoll (W) | 5-0 W | 1-3 L |
| KR Reykjavik (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Grotta (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grotta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/07 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/07 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-5 | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Fylkir Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grotta (W) vs Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grotta (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Grotta (W) 64%, draw 19%, Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Grotta (W) vs Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Grotta (W) 2.6 · Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Grotta (W) vs Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.