Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 24/07, 21:15
Prediction: Haukar (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.1Total
Haukar (W)1.88
HK Kopavogur (W)2.22
1X2
Haukar (W)
Draw
HK Kopavogur (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Haukar (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
HK Kopavogur (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Haukar (W)
2–4
HK Kopavogur (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haukar (W) 1508 · HK Kopavogur (W) 1511
| Haukar (W) | Draw | HK Kopavogur (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 22% | 46% |
| Market | 32% | 23% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours HK Kopavogur (W): 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Haukar (W) | HK Kopavogur (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 4 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haukar (W) 2–0–4 HK Kopavogur (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild Women | HK Kopavogur (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Haukar (W) |
| 31/03/26 Iceland Cup Women | Haukar (W) | 2-4 HT 1-2 | HK Kopavogur (W) |
| 16/07/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Haukar (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | HK Kopavogur (W) |
| 08/05/25 Iceland 1 Deild Women | HK Kopavogur (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Haukar (W) |
| 27/04/25 Iceland Cup Women | Haukar (W) | 0-7 HT 0-3 | HK Kopavogur (W) |
| 06/03/25 Iceland Cup Women | Haukar (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HK Kopavogur (W) |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grotta (W) | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik (W) | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Haukar (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 4 | Selfoss (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 16 |
| 5 | HK Kopavogur (W) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 14 |
| 6 | Keflavik (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 13 |
| 7 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
| 8 | IA Akranes (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Volsungur (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 8 |
| 10 | Tindastoll (W) | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Haukar (W) | HK Kopavogur (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Keflavik (W) | 0-7 L | 1-0 W |
| Grotta (W) | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| KR Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 0-6 L |
| Volsungur (W) | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Haukar (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haukar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/07 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
4-0 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Selfoss (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
HK Kopavogur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/07 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/06 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
7-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haukar (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HK Kopavogur (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Haukar (W) 32%, draw 22%, HK Kopavogur (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Haukar (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)?
The model expects 4.1 goals (Haukar (W) 1.88 · HK Kopavogur (W) 2.22), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Haukar (W) vs HK Kopavogur (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.