Football · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF

Team pages: Lidköpings FK · Stenungsunds IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Lidköpings FK1.61

Stenungsunds IF1.65

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Lidköpings FK Draw Stenungsunds IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lidköpings FK 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLWD

Stenungsunds IF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLWLD

Head-to-head

Lidköpings FK 2–2–2 Stenungsunds IF (6 last)

Stenungsunds IF6-0Lidköpings FK
Lidköpings FK3-1Stenungsunds IF
Stenungsunds IF0-0Lidköpings FK
Lidköpings FK2-2Stenungsunds IF
Stenungsunds IF2-1Lidköpings FK
Lidköpings FK3-0Stenungsunds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lidköpings FK 1467 · Stenungsunds IF 1495

	Lidköpings FK	Draw	Stenungsunds IF
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lidköpings FK	Stenungsunds IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	1.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.60

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.70▲	Pinn 2.85 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.35 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +1’	2.45	3.60	2.35
08:20 +1’	2.70▲	3.60	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:41 +1’	2.85	3.31	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lidköpings FK 2–2–2 Stenungsunds IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Stenungsunds IF	6-0 HT 3-0	Lidköpings FK
08/09/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Lidköpings FK	3-1 HT 1-0	Stenungsunds IF
11/05/24 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Stenungsunds IF	0-0 HT 0-0	Lidköpings FK
01/10/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Lidköpings FK	2-2 HT 2-1	Stenungsunds IF
26/05/23 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Stenungsunds IF	2-1 HT 1-1	Lidköpings FK
22/06/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	Lidköpings FK	3-0 HT 1-0	Stenungsunds IF

Standings · Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Norra Gotaland

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Husqvarna FF	15	12	3	0	36	10	39
2	Skara	16	11	4	1	34	18	37
3	IFK Skövde FK	15	9	2	4	30	19	29
4	Grebbestads IF	15	9	1	5	29	21	28
5	Ahlafors IF	15	6	6	3	31	19	24
6	Herrestads AIF	15	5	5	5	27	29	20
7	Stenungsunds IF	15	5	4	6	26	23	19
8	Motala AIF FK	15	5	4	6	21	20	19
9	IFK Kumla	15	4	5	6	15	18	17
10	Vanersborgs FK	16	4	4	8	21	32	16
11	Lidköpings FK	15	3	3	9	16	33	12
12	IK Tord	15	1	8	6	17	26	11
13	IF Karlstad II	15	2	4	9	17	28	10
14	Vänersborgs IF	15	2	3	10	19	43	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lidköpings FK	Stenungsunds IF
Husqvarna FF	0-0 D	1-3 L
Skara	2-4 L	1-1 D
IF Karlstad II	0-2 L	2-0 W
Vänersborgs IF	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lidköpings FK

WLLLWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
25/06	IFK Skövde FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
18/06	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
13/06	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-2	2-4	7	0	L
10/06	Skövde AIK Sweden Cup	2-1	2-3	2	1	L
06/06	IK Tord Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
29/05	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
23/05	Stenungsunds IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
14/05	Grebbestads IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
08/05	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-0	2	3	W

Stenungsunds IF

WLDWLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Skara Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
26/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
18/06	Vanersborgs FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-1	4-2	2	5	W
12/06	Ahlafors IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-3	0-4	3	3	L
04/06	Vänersborgs IF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	2-0	5-0	7	1	W
31/05	Husqvarna FF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
23/05	Lidköpings FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
17/05	Motala AIF FK Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
08/05	Herrestads AIF Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-4	1-4	3	4	L
03/05	IF Karlstad II Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland	0-0	2-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stenungsunds IF win (38%). Probabilities: Lidköpings FK 37%, draw 25%, Stenungsunds IF 38%.

How many goals are expected in Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Lidköpings FK 1.61 · Stenungsunds IF 1.65), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lidköpings FK vs Stenungsunds IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.