Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska Föreningen

Team pages: FBK Karlstad · Assyriska Föreningen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

FBK Karlstad1.96

Assyriska Föreningen1.44

1X2

49% 24% 27%

FBK Karlstad Draw Assyriska Föreningen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FBK Karlstad 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Assyriska Föreningen 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FBK Karlstad 1–1 Assyriska Föreningen (2 last)

Assyriska Föreningen2-3FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad3-5Assyriska Föreningen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FBK Karlstad 1514 · Assyriska Föreningen 1467

	FBK Karlstad	Draw	Assyriska Föreningen
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FBK Karlstad (rating 1514 vs 1467).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FBK Karlstad	Assyriska Föreningen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.70

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +1’	1.83	3.70	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FBK Karlstad 1–0–1 Assyriska Föreningen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/09/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	2-3 HT 0-2	FBK Karlstad
08/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	3-5 HT 2-4	Assyriska Föreningen

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	14	10	2	2	38	11	32
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	14	9	3	2	22	9	30
3	FC Arlanda	14	8	5	1	23	10	29
4	FC Stockholm Internazionale	14	8	3	3	28	14	27
5	Enkopings SK	14	8	1	5	24	23	25
6	FBK Karlstad	14	7	3	4	23	20	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
8	Karlbergs BK	14	5	3	6	23	23	18
9	Umeå FC	14	4	4	6	20	24	16
10	FC Järfälla	14	4	3	7	21	27	15
11	Vasalunds IF	14	4	3	7	20	30	15
12	Assyriska Föreningen	14	3	5	6	22	29	14
13	Gefle IF	14	4	2	8	17	29	14
14	Sollentuna United FF	14	2	7	5	12	19	13
15	Piteå IF	14	2	3	9	16	32	9
16	IFK Stocksund	14	1	5	8	28	36	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FBK Karlstad	Assyriska Föreningen
Hammarby TFF	0-7 L	0-4 L
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-3 L	2-2 D
FC Arlanda	0-0 D	0-2 L
Umeå FC	1-1 D	1-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FBK Karlstad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-7	11	1	L
18/06	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
14/06	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	4	1	L
09/06	IK Sturehov Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
31/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
23/05	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
17/05	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
14/05	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	5-1	5	2	W
09/05	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	4	0	W

Assyriska Föreningen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
21/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
14/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
07/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
02/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	3-0	4-2	3	4	W
28/05	Vasalunds IF Sweden Cup Qualification	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
23/05	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-3	6	5	D
17/05	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
14/05	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-5	4	4	L
09/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-4	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska Föreningen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FBK Karlstad win (49%). Probabilities: FBK Karlstad 49%, draw 24%, Assyriska Föreningen 27%.

How many goals are expected in FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model expects 3.4 goals (FBK Karlstad 1.96 · Assyriska Föreningen 1.44), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FBK Karlstad vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.