Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 02/10, 19:00

Prediction: Karlbergs BK vs Sollentuna United FF

Team pages: Karlbergs BK · Sollentuna United FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Karlbergs BK1.41

Sollentuna United FF1.15

1X2

43% 27% 30%

Karlbergs BK Draw Sollentuna United FF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Karlbergs BK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Sollentuna United FF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Karlbergs BK 2–2–2 Sollentuna United FF (6 last)

Sollentuna United FF1-2Karlbergs BK
Sollentuna United FF0-1Karlbergs BK
Sollentuna United FF2-2Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK1-2Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF2-1Karlbergs BK
Karlbergs BK2-2Sollentuna United FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karlbergs BK 1493 · Sollentuna United FF 1437

	Karlbergs BK	Draw	Sollentuna United FF
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karlbergs BK (rating 1493 vs 1437).
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karlbergs BK	Sollentuna United FF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +9’	2.05	3.60	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karlbergs BK 2–2–2 Sollentuna United FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/07/26 Club Friendly List	Sollentuna United FF	1-2 HT 1-1	Karlbergs BK
04/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	0-1 HT 0-1	Karlbergs BK
09/11/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-2 HT 2-1	Karlbergs BK
27/06/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	1-2 HT 1-1	Sollentuna United FF
04/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	2-1 HT 0-1	Karlbergs BK
04/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Karlbergs BK	2-2 HT 2-0	Sollentuna United FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	24	17	3	4	57	20	54
2	AFC Eskilstuna	24	14	4	6	45	32	46
3	Hammarby TFF	24	13	6	5	50	23	45
4	FC Arlanda	24	13	6	5	42	27	45
5	FBK Karlstad	24	12	6	6	39	33	42
6	IF Karlstad Fotboll	24	11	7	6	36	24	40
7	Enkopings SK	24	12	3	9	37	40	39
8	Assyriska Föreningen	24	9	5	10	43	42	32
9	Gefle IF	24	9	3	12	29	42	30
10	Umeå FC	24	8	5	11	32	40	29
11	Karlbergs BK	24	8	5	11	30	39	29
12	Vasalunds IF	24	7	6	11	35	48	27
13	Sollentuna United FF	24	5	9	10	22	33	24
14	Piteå IF	24	5	6	13	29	45	21
15	FC Järfälla	24	5	3	16	32	54	18
16	IFK Stocksund	24	3	5	16	44	60	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karlbergs BK	Sollentuna United FF
IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-1 D	2-1 W
FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-2 L	1-2 L
FC Järfälla	0-5 L	2-1 W
Hammarby TFF	0-0 D	0-1 L
AFC Eskilstuna	0-3 L	1-2 L
Enkopings SK	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sollentuna United FF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karlbergs BK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
20/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	6	0	L
17/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-5	5	3	L
12/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
06/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
31/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
23/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
15/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
07/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
01/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	1	6	W

Sollentuna United FF

DLWWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
19/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	2-3	6	1	L
12/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
05/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
15/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
03/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karlbergs BK vs Sollentuna United FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karlbergs BK win (43%). Probabilities: Karlbergs BK 43%, draw 27%, Sollentuna United FF 30%.

How many goals are expected in Karlbergs BK vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Karlbergs BK 1.41 · Sollentuna United FF 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Karlbergs BK vs Sollentuna United FF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.