Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Järfälla vs FC Stockholm Internazionale

Team pages: FC Järfälla · FC Stockholm Internazionale

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

FC Järfälla1.33

FC Stockholm Internazionale2.24

1X2

21% 22% 57%

FC Järfälla Draw FC Stockholm Internazionale

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

FC Järfälla 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Stockholm Internazionale 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Järfälla 0–2 FC Stockholm Internazionale (2 last)

FC Järfälla0-2FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale4-0FC Järfälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Järfälla 1462 · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1570

	FC Järfälla	Draw	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Our model	21%	22%	57%
Market	21%	22%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Stockholm Internazionale (rating 1462 vs 1570).
H2H favours FC Stockholm Internazionale: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Järfälla	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.2	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.20

X4.10

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +1’	4.20	4.10	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Järfälla 0–0–2 FC Stockholm Internazionale

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/10/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Järfälla	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
03/07/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Stockholm Internazionale	4-0 HT 3-0	FC Järfälla

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	14	10	2	2	38	11	32
2	IF Karlstad Fotboll	14	9	3	2	22	9	30
3	FC Arlanda	14	8	5	1	23	10	29
4	FC Stockholm Internazionale	14	8	3	3	28	14	27
5	Enkopings SK	14	8	1	5	24	23	25
6	FBK Karlstad	14	7	3	4	23	20	24
7	AFC Eskilstuna	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
8	Karlbergs BK	14	5	3	6	23	23	18
9	Umeå FC	14	4	4	6	20	24	16
10	FC Järfälla	14	4	3	7	21	27	15
11	Vasalunds IF	14	4	3	7	20	30	15
12	Assyriska Föreningen	14	3	5	6	22	29	14
13	Gefle IF	14	4	2	8	17	29	14
14	Sollentuna United FF	14	2	7	5	12	19	13
15	Piteå IF	14	2	3	9	16	32	9
16	IFK Stocksund	14	1	5	8	28	36	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Järfälla	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Hammarby TFF	1-1 D	1-3 L
IFK Stocksund	1-6 L	1-0 W
Vasalunds IF	1-3 L	4-1 W
Gefle IF	4-0 W	2-0 W
Karlbergs BK	3-1 W	2-1 W
Enkopings SK	0-3 L	2-0 W
FBK Karlstad	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Stockholm Internazionale (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Järfälla

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
23/06	FC Arlanda Sweden Cup	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
18/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
13/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
08/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	1-6	1	7	L
03/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
23/05	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	4-0	7	4	W
16/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
13/05	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
09/05	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	3	0	L

FC Stockholm Internazionale

WLLWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
18/06	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
14/06	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	5	1	W
08/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	4-1	5	3	W
04/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden Cup Qualification	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
31/05	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	2-2	6	3	D
23/05	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
16/05	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
13/05	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	12	1	L
09/05	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	6-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Järfälla vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Stockholm Internazionale win (57%). Probabilities: FC Järfälla 21%, draw 22%, FC Stockholm Internazionale 57%.

How many goals are expected in FC Järfälla vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

The model expects 3.57 goals (FC Järfälla 1.33 · FC Stockholm Internazionale 2.24), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Järfälla vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.