Prediction: Gremio (W) vs Botafogo (W)
Team pages: Gremio (W) · Botafogo (W)
- Botafogo (W)0-2Gremio (W)
- Gremio (W)0-0Botafogo (W)
| Gremio (W) | Draw | Botafogo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 80% | 14% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gremio (W) (rating 1531 vs 1384).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gremio (W) | Botafogo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.3 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio (W) 1–1–0 Botafogo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Botafogo (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Gremio (W) |
| 24/06/21 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Gremio (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Botafogo (W) |
Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (W) | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria (W) | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Bahia (W) | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 28 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro (W) | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 27 |
| 7 | Flamengo (W) | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 27 |
| 8 | Fluminense RJ (W) | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Gremio (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 16 | 24 |
| 10 | Internacional (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 11 | Bragantino (W) | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 23 |
| 12 | Santos (W) | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Mineiro (W) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Mixto EC (W) | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 12 |
| 15 | EC Juventude (W) | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 10 |
| 16 | America MG (W) | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 7 |
| 17 | EC Vitoria (W) | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 7 |
| 18 | Botafogo (W) | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 37 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gremio (W) | Botafogo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mineiro (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Cruzeiro (W) | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| America MG (W) | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Bragantino (W) | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Bahia (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sao Paulo (W) | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Gremio (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gremio (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 01/08 | America MG (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Mixto EC (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Corinthians (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/04 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Botafogo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/08 | Fluminense RJ (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Cruzeiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 17/07 | EC Vitoria (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | America MG (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 19/05 | Palmeiras (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Internacional (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gremio (W) vs Botafogo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gremio (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Gremio (W) 79%, draw 15%, Botafogo (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Gremio (W) vs Botafogo (W)?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Gremio (W) 2.59 · Botafogo (W) 0.61), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gremio (W) vs Botafogo (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.