Football · Brazil Serie A1 Women · 22/08, 23:00

Prediction: EC Juventude (W) vs Bahia (W)

Team pages: EC Juventude (W) · Bahia (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
EC Juventude (W)0.76
Bahia (W)1.45
1X2
19% 28% 53%
EC Juventude (W) Draw Bahia (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
EC Juventude (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDWLDLDLLL
Bahia (W) 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDWDWWWLWD
Head-to-head
EC Juventude (W) 0–1–1 Bahia (W) (2 last)
  • Bahia (W)2-2EC Juventude (W)
  • Bahia (W)3-0EC Juventude (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EC Juventude (W) 1443 · Bahia (W) 1547
EC Juventude (W)DrawBahia (W)
Our model19%29%52%
Market20%27%53%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bahia (W) (rating 1443 vs 1547).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EC Juventude (W)Bahia (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.41.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.40.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.42.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.14.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · EC Juventude (W) 011 Bahia (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/06/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Bahia (W)2-2
HT 1-0
EC Juventude (W)
08/06/24
Brazil Serie A2 Women
Bahia (W)3-0
HT 1-0
EC Juventude (W)

Standings · Brazil Serie A1 Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corinthians (W) 161222 411538
2 Sao Paulo (W) 161222 301138
3 Palmeiras (W) 161051 321135
4 Ferroviaria (W) 16862 221330
5 Bahia (W) 16844 281928
6 Cruzeiro (W) 16763 301927
7 Flamengo (W) 16763 251927
8 Fluminense RJ (W) 16745 221825
9 Gremio (W) 16736 221624
10 Internacional (W) 16736 181624
11 Bragantino (W) 16727 282523
12 Santos (W) 16556 202220
13 Atletico Mineiro (W) 16448 162116
14 Mixto EC (W) 16268 102612
15 EC Juventude (W) 162410 72010
16 America MG (W) 161411 8327
17 EC Vitoria (W) 161411 14437
18 Botafogo (W) 161213 10375

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEC Juventude (W)Bahia (W)
Palmeiras (W) 0-3 L 0-0 D
Mixto EC (W) 0-1 L 1-1 D
Ferroviaria (W) 0-0 D 0-1 L
Botafogo (W) 0-3 L 2-1 W
Internacional (W) 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bahia (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EC Juventude (W)

LDWLDLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-3 52 L
09/08 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-1 73 L
02/08 Santos (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 0-4 22 L
26/07 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 35 D
27/05 Botafogo (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-1 0-3 105 L
24/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 34 D
19/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 35 L
11/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-0 55 W
01/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 35 D
26/04 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 33 L

Bahia (W)

DDWDWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-1 73 D
08/08 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 3-0 52 W
02/08 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-1 43 L
28/07 Botafogo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 2-1 29 W
22/07 Itabirito (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-0 65 W
28/05 Planalto EC (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-0 74 W
23/05 Fluminense RJ (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 3-3 24 D
16/05 Internacional (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 3-0 37 W
09/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 1-1 44 D
02/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EC Juventude (W) vs Bahia (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bahia (W) win (53%). Probabilities: EC Juventude (W) 19%, draw 28%, Bahia (W) 53%.

How many goals are expected in EC Juventude (W) vs Bahia (W)?

The model expects 2.21 goals (EC Juventude (W) 0.76 · Bahia (W) 1.45), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EC Juventude (W) vs Bahia (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.