Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 23/08, 07:00

Prediction: Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)

Team pages: Macarthur Rams (W) · Western City Rangers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.18Total

Macarthur Rams (W)2.89

Western City Rangers (W)1.28

1X2

70% 16% 14%

Macarthur Rams (W) Draw Western City Rangers (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Macarthur Rams (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Western City Rangers (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Macarthur Rams (W) 1–2 Western City Rangers (W) (3 last)

Western City Rangers (W)1-2Macarthur Rams (W)
Western City Rangers (W)3-0Macarthur Rams (W)
Macarthur Rams (W)1-2Western City Rangers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Macarthur Rams (W) 1485 · Western City Rangers (W) 1405

	Macarthur Rams (W)	Draw	Western City Rangers (W)
Our model	70%	17%	14%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macarthur Rams (W) (rating 1485 vs 1405).
H2H favours Western City Rangers (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Macarthur Rams (W)	Western City Rangers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1.3 / 4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.5 / 2.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:38 +6’	1.28	5.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams (W) 1–0–2 Western City Rangers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western City Rangers (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Macarthur Rams (W)
27/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western City Rangers (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Macarthur Rams (W)
27/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Macarthur Rams (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Western City Rangers (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	24	16	7	1	62	24	55
2	University NSW (W)	24	15	8	1	46	18	53
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	24	15	4	5	51	28	49
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	24	15	4	5	60	32	49
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	32	36
6	Manly Utd (W)	24	8	9	7	38	30	33
7	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	24	10	3	11	42	39	33
8	Sydney University (W)	24	8	7	9	47	43	31
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	24	8	5	11	35	40	29
10	Hills United FC (W)	24	8	3	13	31	32	27
11	NWS Spirit (W)	24	7	2	15	30	75	23
12	Gladesville Ravens (W)	24	6	5	13	31	49	23
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	24	3	7	14	19	44	16
14	Western City Rangers (W)	24	3	2	19	27	73	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Macarthur Rams (W)	Western City Rangers (W)
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-1 D	1-3 L
Gladesville Ravens (W)	5-0 W	0-6 L
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	0-3 L	1-3 L
Sydney University (W)	2-2 D	2-5 L
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-0 W	1-9 L
NWS Spirit (W)	2-4 L	0-4 L
Hills United FC (W)	3-1 W	0-3 L
APIA Leichardt (W)	1-2 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Macarthur Rams (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Macarthur Rams (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	3	0	D
09/08	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
02/08	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	5-0	5-0	8	4	W
26/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
19/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-2	6	1	D
15/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
11/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-4	4	2	L
05/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-1	4	0	W
21/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-2	2	1	L
14/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-5	8	1	L

Western City Rangers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-3	2	0	L
09/08	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
02/08	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-6	1-9	0	0	L
26/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	6-1	7	2	W
18/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-3	3	9	L
11/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-5	8	4	L
05/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-5	6	0	L
21/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-4	0-6	9	3	L
13/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-4	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Macarthur Rams (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Macarthur Rams (W) 70%, draw 16%, Western City Rangers (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

The model expects 4.18 goals (Macarthur Rams (W) 2.89 · Western City Rangers (W) 1.28), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.