Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 30/08, 09:00

Prediction: Sydney University (W) vs Manly Utd (W)

Team pages: Sydney University (W) · Manly Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Sydney University (W)1.32

Manly Utd (W)1.46

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Sydney University (W) Draw Manly Utd (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney University (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Manly Utd (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLDWLL

Head-to-head

Sydney University (W) 2–2–2 Manly Utd (W) (6 last)

Manly Utd (W)1-1Sydney University (W)
Sydney University (W)0-2Manly Utd (W)
Manly Utd (W)2-1Sydney University (W)
Sydney University (W)1-0Manly Utd (W)
Manly Utd (W)1-1Sydney University (W)
Sydney University (W)1-0Manly Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney University (W) 1438 · Manly Utd (W) 1487

	Sydney University (W)	Draw	Manly Utd (W)
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manly Utd (W) (rating 1438 vs 1487).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney University (W)	Manly Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0.1	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:20 +4’	2.63	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney University (W) 2–2–2 Manly Utd (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Sydney University (W)
31/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Manly Utd (W)
01/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Sydney University (W)
18/08/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Manly Utd (W)
19/05/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Sydney University (W)
30/07/23 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Manly Utd (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	25	17	7	1	64	24	58
2	University NSW (W)	25	16	8	1	48	19	56
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	25	16	4	5	64	34	52
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	25	15	4	6	53	32	49
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	25	10	6	9	40	34	36
6	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	25	11	3	11	44	39	36
7	Manly Utd (W)	25	8	9	8	39	33	33
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	25	9	5	11	38	42	32
9	Sydney University (W)	25	8	7	10	48	45	31
10	Hills United FC (W)	25	8	3	14	32	34	27
11	Gladesville Ravens (W)	26	7	5	14	34	51	26
12	NWS Spirit (W)	26	8	2	16	33	79	26
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	25	4	7	14	21	45	19
14	Western City Rangers (W)	25	3	2	20	29	76	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney University (W)	Manly Utd (W)
University NSW (W)	1-2 L	2-2 D
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
NWS Spirit (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
Northern Tigers FC (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
Hills United FC (W)	0-3 L	2-1 W
Illawarra Stingrays (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
Western City Rangers (W)	5-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney University (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-2	6	0	L
16/08	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
09/08	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
02/08	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
26/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	2-2	2	0	D
19/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
12/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
05/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
28/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	5-2	4	0	W
21/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-3	5	4	L

Manly Utd (W)

DLDWWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	1-3	2	0	L
16/08	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
09/08	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-0	7	0	W
02/08	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	3	0	D
26/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
19/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
12/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
05/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
28/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-2	3	0	L
20/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney University (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Manly Utd (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Sydney University (W) 34%, draw 26%, Manly Utd (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney University (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Sydney University (W) 1.32 · Manly Utd (W) 1.46), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney University (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.