Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 23/08, 08:50

Prediction: APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Team pages: APIA Leichardt (W) · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

APIA Leichardt (W)2.14

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)1.48

1X2

52% 22% 26%

APIA Leichardt (W) Draw Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

APIA Leichardt (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

APIA Leichardt (W) 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) (3 last)

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)3-2APIA Leichardt (W)
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)1-5APIA Leichardt (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)0-1Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · APIA Leichardt (W) 1553 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1525

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Our model	52%	23%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W): 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	APIA Leichardt (W)	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:39 +5’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · APIA Leichardt (W) 1–0–2 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	3-2 HT 1-0	APIA Leichardt (W)
09/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-5 HT 1-1	APIA Leichardt (W)
06/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	24	16	7	1	62	24	55
2	University NSW (W)	24	15	8	1	46	18	53
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	24	15	4	5	51	28	49
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	24	15	4	5	60	32	49
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	32	36
6	Manly Utd (W)	24	8	9	7	38	30	33
7	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	24	10	3	11	42	39	33
8	Sydney University (W)	24	8	7	9	47	43	31
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	24	8	5	11	35	40	29
10	Hills United FC (W)	24	8	3	13	31	32	27
11	NWS Spirit (W)	24	7	2	15	30	75	23
12	Gladesville Ravens (W)	24	6	5	13	31	49	23
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	24	3	7	14	19	44	16
14	Western City Rangers (W)	24	3	2	19	27	73	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	APIA Leichardt (W)	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W)	4-2 W	0-0 D
Bulls FC Academy (W)	2-2 D	3-5 L
University NSW (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Western City Rangers (W)	5-1 W	9-1 W
NWS Spirit (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Manly Utd (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Macarthur Rams (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Hills United FC (W)	4-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: APIA Leichardt (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

APIA Leichardt (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
09/08	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-2	4-2	2	4	W
02/08	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	2-2	5	2	D
25/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
19/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
11/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-1	5	4	W
05/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
28/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
21/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
14/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-1	6	4	W

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
08/08	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
02/08	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	6-0	9-1	7	0	W
26/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-1	5	1	W
19/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	3-5	2	2	L
15/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
12/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	7	1	L
05/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
21/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
14/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a APIA Leichardt (W) win (52%). Probabilities: APIA Leichardt (W) 52%, draw 22%, Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?

The model expects 3.61 goals (APIA Leichardt (W) 2.14 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in APIA Leichardt (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.