Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 23/08, 09:00

Prediction: Sydney University (W) vs University NSW (W)

Team pages: Sydney University (W) · University NSW (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Sydney University (W)1.17

University NSW (W)1.41

1X2

30% 29% 41%

Sydney University (W) Draw University NSW (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney University (W) 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLDDLDL

University NSW (W) 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDDDDDWW

Head-to-head

Sydney University (W) 0–4–1 University NSW (W) (5 last)

University NSW (W)1-1Sydney University (W)
Sydney University (W)1-2University NSW (W)
University NSW (W)1-1Sydney University (W)
Sydney University (W)2-2University NSW (W)
University NSW (W)0-0Sydney University (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours University NSW (W) (rating 1460 vs 1551).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney University (W)	University NSW (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	3.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0.2	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.50
X	4.66 → 4.66	Pinn 4.66
2	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:09 +6’	4.50	4.66	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney University (W) 0–4–1 University NSW (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Sydney University (W)
27/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	University NSW (W)
27/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Sydney University (W)
04/08/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney University (W)	2-2 HT 2-2	University NSW (W)
05/05/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sydney University (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	24	16	7	1	62	24	55
2	University NSW (W)	24	15	8	1	46	18	53
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	24	15	4	5	51	28	49
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	24	15	4	5	60	32	49
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	32	36
6	Manly Utd (W)	25	8	9	8	39	33	33
7	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	24	10	3	11	42	39	33
8	Sydney University (W)	24	8	7	9	47	43	31
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	24	8	5	11	35	40	29
10	Hills United FC (W)	24	8	3	13	31	32	27
11	NWS Spirit (W)	25	8	2	15	33	76	26
12	Gladesville Ravens (W)	24	6	5	13	31	49	23
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	24	3	7	14	19	44	16
14	Western City Rangers (W)	24	3	2	19	27	73	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney University (W)	University NSW (W)
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
NWS Spirit (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Northern Tigers FC (W)	2-2 D	0-0 D
Macarthur Rams (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Illawarra Stingrays (W)	0-0 D	3-1 W
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	2-3 L	0-0 D
Gladesville Ravens (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 5 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: University NSW (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney University (W)

DLWDLDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
09/08	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
02/08	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
26/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	2-2	2	0	D
19/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
12/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
05/07	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
28/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	5-2	4	0	W
21/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
14/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	4	3	D

University NSW (W)

WWLDDDDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
09/08	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
02/08	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
25/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
19/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
11/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
04/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
28/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
21/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	3-1	7	0	W
14/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	11	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney University (W) vs University NSW (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an University NSW (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Sydney University (W) 30%, draw 29%, University NSW (W) 41%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney University (W) vs University NSW (W)?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Sydney University (W) 1.17 · University NSW (W) 1.41), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney University (W) vs University NSW (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.