Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 23/08, 09:30

Prediction: Hills United FC (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Team pages: Hills United FC (W) · Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Hills United FC (W)1.84

Illawarra Stingrays (W)1

1X2

56% 25% 19%

Hills United FC (W) Draw Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hills United FC (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLDWW

Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDLLLD

Head-to-head

Hills United FC (W) 0–1–0 Illawarra Stingrays (W) (1 last)

Illawarra Stingrays (W)0-0Hills United FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hills United FC (W) (rating 1497 vs 1427).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hills United FC (W)	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	0.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.2	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.75

Under 2.751.97

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:15

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.56	Pinn 1.56
X	3.79 → 3.79	Pinn 3.79
2	4.46 → 4.46	Pinn 4.46

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:09 +6’	1.56	3.79	4.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills United FC (W) 0–1–0 Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Hills United FC (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	24	16	7	1	62	24	55
2	University NSW (W)	24	15	8	1	46	18	53
3	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	24	15	4	5	51	28	49
4	APIA Leichardt (W)	24	15	4	5	60	32	49
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	24	10	6	8	40	32	36
6	Manly Utd (W)	25	8	9	8	39	33	33
7	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	24	10	3	11	42	39	33
8	Sydney University (W)	24	8	7	9	47	43	31
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	24	8	5	11	35	40	29
10	Hills United FC (W)	24	8	3	13	31	32	27
11	NWS Spirit (W)	25	8	2	15	33	76	26
12	Gladesville Ravens (W)	24	6	5	13	31	49	23
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	24	3	7	14	19	44	16
14	Western City Rangers (W)	24	3	2	19	27	73	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hills United FC (W)	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Gladesville Ravens (W)	4-0 W	3-0 W
Western City Rangers (W)	3-0 W	1-6 L
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-1 D	0-3 L
NWS Spirit (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Manly Utd (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Sydney University (W)	3-0 W	0-0 D
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
APIA Leichardt (W)	1-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hills United FC (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hills United FC (W)

LLWLWLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-0	4-0	5	1	W
09/08	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
01/08	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
25/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
19/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
12/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
05/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-3	5	0	L
28/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
21/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
14/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	1-4	4	4	L

Illawarra Stingrays (W)

LLWDLDLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
09/08	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
02/08	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
26/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-6	4	2	L
19/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
12/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
05/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
28/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
21/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
14/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hills United FC (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hills United FC (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Hills United FC (W) 56%, draw 25%, Illawarra Stingrays (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Hills United FC (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Hills United FC (W) 1.84 · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hills United FC (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.