Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 16/08, 09:00

Prediction: Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Sydney University (W)

Team pages: Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) · Sydney University (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)2.05
Sydney University (W)1.4
1X2
52% 23% 25%
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Draw Sydney University (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDLLLWWW
Sydney University (W) 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWDLDDLD
Head-to-head
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 0–3 Sydney University (W) (3 last)
  • Sydney University (W)3-0Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
  • Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)0-2Sydney University (W)
  • Sydney University (W)1-0Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1509 · Sydney University (W) 1462
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)DrawSydney University (W)
Our model52%23%25%
Market52%22%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) (rating 1509 vs 1462).
  • H2H favours Sydney University (W): 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)Sydney University (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.31.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.72.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.2 / 01.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 003 Sydney University (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Sydney University (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
03/08/25
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)0-2
HT 0-1
Sydney University (W)
04/05/25
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Sydney University (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bulls FC Academy (W) 231571 612452
2 University NSW (W) 231481 451850
3 APIA Leichardt (W) 231535 593148
4 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 231445 502846
5 Northern Tigers FC (W) 231058 393135
6 Manly Utd (W) 23896 382933
7 Sydney University (W) 23878 474231
8 Sydney Olympic FC (W) 239311 393830
9 Macarthur Rams (W) 238411 343928
10 Hills United FC (W) 237313 273224
11 NWS Spirit (W) 237214 307423
12 Gladesville Ravens (W) 236512 314523
13 Illawarra Stingrays (W) 233614 184315
14 Western City Rangers (W) 233218 267011

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWestern Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)Sydney University (W)
NWS Spirit (W) 2-0 W 1-2 L
Western City Rangers (W) 9-1 W 5-2 W
Bulls FC Academy (W) 3-5 L 1-1 D
Macarthur Rams (W) 0-1 L 2-2 D
Northern Tigers FC (W) 1-2 L 2-2 D
Gladesville Ravens (W) 0-0 D 1-1 D
Hills United FC (W) 3-2 W 0-3 L
Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 NWS Spirit (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
1-0 2-0 52 W
02/08 Western City Rangers (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
6-0 9-1 70 W
26/07 Manly Utd (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-0 2-1 51 W
19/07 Bulls FC Academy (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
1-3 3-5 22 L
15/07 Macarthur Rams (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-1 0-1 31 L
12/07 Northern Tigers FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-1 1-2 71 L
05/07 Gladesville Ravens (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-0 0-0 101 D
21/06 Hills United FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
1-1 3-2 42 W
14/06 University NSW (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-1 0-1 21 L
07/06 Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-0 1-0 21 W

Sydney University (W)

LDLWDLDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Bulls FC Academy (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-0 1-1 51 D
02/08 NWS Spirit (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-2 1-2 82 L
26/07 Northern Tigers FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
2-1 2-2 20 D
19/07 Macarthur Rams (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-2 2-2 61 D
12/07 Hills United FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-2 0-3 81 L
05/07 Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-0 0-0 43 D
28/06 Western City Rangers (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
2-0 5-2 40 W
21/06 Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-2 2-3 54 L
14/06 Gladesville Ravens (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-1 1-1 43 D
07/06 APIA Leichardt (W)
Australia New South Wales NPL Women
0-0 0-3 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 52%, draw 23%, Sydney University (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 2.05 · Sydney University (W) 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) vs Sydney University (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.