Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 16/08, 07:10

Prediction: Gladesville Ravens (W) vs Hills United FC (W)

Team pages: Gladesville Ravens (W) · Hills United FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Gladesville Ravens (W)1.33

Hills United FC (W)1.47

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Gladesville Ravens (W) Draw Hills United FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gladesville Ravens (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLDDLL

Hills United FC (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLLDW

Head-to-head

Gladesville Ravens (W) 0–1 Hills United FC (W) (1 last)

Hills United FC (W)1-0Gladesville Ravens (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gladesville Ravens (W) 1460 · Hills United FC (W) 1478

	Gladesville Ravens (W)	Draw	Hills United FC (W)
Our model	33%	28%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gladesville Ravens (W)	Hills United FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.9	1.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +3’	2.63	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gladesville Ravens (W) 0–0–1 Hills United FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Hills United FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Gladesville Ravens (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	23	15	7	1	61	24	52
2	University NSW (W)	23	14	8	1	45	18	50
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	23	15	3	5	59	31	48
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	23	14	4	5	50	28	46
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	23	10	5	8	39	31	35
6	Manly Utd (W)	23	8	9	6	38	29	33
7	Sydney University (W)	23	8	7	8	47	42	31
8	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	23	9	3	11	39	38	30
9	Macarthur Rams (W)	23	8	4	11	34	39	28
10	Hills United FC (W)	23	7	3	13	27	32	24
11	NWS Spirit (W)	23	7	2	14	30	74	23
12	Gladesville Ravens (W)	23	6	5	12	31	45	23
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	23	3	6	14	18	43	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	23	3	2	18	26	70	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gladesville Ravens (W)	Hills United FC (W)
APIA Leichardt (W)	2-4 L	1-4 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	0-5 L	1-3 L
Bulls FC Academy (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Manly Utd (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-0 D	2-3 L
Western City Rangers (W)	6-0 W	3-0 W
Sydney University (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Gladesville Ravens (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gladesville Ravens (W)

WDWLDLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-2	2-4	3	4	L
02/08	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-5	0-5	1	4	L
26/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
19/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
12/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
28/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
21/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	4-0	6-0	3	3	W
14/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
07/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	0	1	W

Hills United FC (W)

LLLWLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
01/08	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
25/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
19/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
12/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
05/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-3	5	0	L
28/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
21/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
14/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	1-4	4	4	L
07/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gladesville Ravens (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hills United FC (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Gladesville Ravens (W) 34%, draw 26%, Hills United FC (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Gladesville Ravens (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Gladesville Ravens (W) 1.33 · Hills United FC (W) 1.47), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gladesville Ravens (W) vs Hills United FC (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.