Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 26/07, 07:00

Prediction: Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Macarthur Rams (W)1.67

Sydney Olympic FC (W)1.57

1X2

40% 25% 36%

Macarthur Rams (W) Draw Sydney Olympic FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Macarthur Rams (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Sydney Olympic FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Macarthur Rams (W) 3–3 Sydney Olympic FC (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Macarthur Rams (W) 1514 · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1501

	Macarthur Rams (W)	Draw	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Our model	39%	25%	35%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Macarthur Rams (W)	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.2	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:09 +9’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams (W) 3–0–3 Sydney Olympic FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	Macarthur Rams (W)
31/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Macarthur Rams (W)
01/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Macarthur Rams (W)	2-4 HT 2-3	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
01/09/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Macarthur Rams (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
04/08/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Macarthur Rams (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
30/05/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Macarthur Rams (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	20	15	4	1	57	20	49
2	University NSW (W)	20	13	6	1	41	15	45
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	20	14	1	5	52	26	43
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	20	11	4	5	37	26	37
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	20	9	3	8	34	27	30
6	Manly Utd (W)	20	7	8	5	32	25	29
7	Sydney University (W)	20	8	5	7	43	37	29
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	20	7	4	9	29	35	25
9	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	20	7	3	10	34	36	24
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	20	6	4	10	28	35	22
11	Hills United FC (W)	20	6	2	12	23	30	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	20	5	2	13	27	71	17
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	20	3	6	11	17	33	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	20	2	2	16	19	57	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Macarthur Rams (W)	Sydney Olympic FC (W)
Sydney University (W)	2-2 D	3-2 W
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-0 W	0-2 L
NWS Spirit (W)	2-4 L	0-1 L
Hills United FC (W)	3-1 W	0-1 L
APIA Leichardt (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Bulls FC Academy (W)	0-5 L	0-1 L
Manly Utd (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Western City Rangers (W)	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney Olympic FC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Macarthur Rams (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-2	6	1	D
15/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
11/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-4	4	2	L
05/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-1	4	0	W
21/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	1-2	2	1	L
14/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
07/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
31/05	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-1	8	3	W
24/05	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
17/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	3-2	7	2	W

Sydney Olympic FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
11/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
05/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
28/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
21/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
14/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-2	8	0	D
07/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
31/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
24/05	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	5-1	6	0	W
17/05	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	3-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Macarthur Rams (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Macarthur Rams (W) 40%, draw 25%, Sydney Olympic FC (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Macarthur Rams (W) 1.67 · Sydney Olympic FC (W) 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Sydney Olympic FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.