Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 26/07, 09:00

Prediction: Western City Rangers (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Western City Rangers (W)1.5

Illawarra Stingrays (W)1.42

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Western City Rangers (W) Draw Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Western City Rangers (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Western City Rangers (W) 1–2–0 Illawarra Stingrays (W) (3 last)

Illawarra Stingrays (W)1-1Western City Rangers (W)
Illawarra Stingrays (W)0-4Western City Rangers (W)
Western City Rangers (W)0-0Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Illawarra Stingrays (W) (rating 1398 vs 1440).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Western City Rangers (W)	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 3.5	0.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.6	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.38 → 4.38	Pinn 4.38
X	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
2	1.63 → 1.63	Pinn 1.63

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:06 +2’	4.38	3.82	1.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Western City Rangers (W) 1–2–0 Illawarra Stingrays (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Western City Rangers (W)
15/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Western City Rangers (W)
16/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western City Rangers (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Illawarra Stingrays (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	20	15	4	1	57	20	49
2	University NSW (W)	21	13	7	1	42	16	46
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	21	14	2	5	53	27	44
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	20	11	4	5	37	26	37
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	20	9	3	8	34	27	30
6	Manly Utd (W)	20	7	8	5	32	25	29
7	Sydney University (W)	20	8	5	7	43	37	29
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	20	7	4	9	29	35	25
9	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	20	7	3	10	34	36	24
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	20	6	4	10	28	35	22
11	Hills United FC (W)	21	6	2	13	23	31	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	21	6	2	13	28	71	20
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	20	3	6	11	17	33	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	20	2	2	16	19	57	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Western City Rangers (W)	Illawarra Stingrays (W)
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
Sydney University (W)	2-5 L	0-0 D
Gladesville Ravens (W)	0-6 L	3-0 W
NWS Spirit (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
University NSW (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
Bulls FC Academy (W)	0-4 L	1-4 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Illawarra Stingrays (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Western City Rangers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-3	3	9	L
11/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-5	8	4	L
05/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-5	6	0	L
21/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-4	0-6	9	3	L
13/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
06/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
31/05	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
24/05	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
17/05	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-3	5	4	L

Illawarra Stingrays (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
12/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-4	1	3	L
05/07	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
28/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
21/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-2	1-3	5	0	L
14/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
07/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
31/05	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
26/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
24/05	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Western City Rangers (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Western City Rangers (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Western City Rangers (W) 38%, draw 27%, Illawarra Stingrays (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Western City Rangers (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Western City Rangers (W) 1.5 · Illawarra Stingrays (W) 1.42), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Western City Rangers (W) vs Illawarra Stingrays (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.