Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 26/07, 09:00

Prediction: Manly Utd (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Manly Utd (W)1.51

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)1.44

1X2

39% 26% 36%

Manly Utd (W) Draw Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Manly Utd (W) 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDLDWLW

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWDLLL

Head-to-head

Manly Utd (W) 2–1–1 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) (4 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manly Utd (W) 1516 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1483

	Manly Utd (W)	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Manly Utd (W): 2-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manly Utd (W)	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:15 +3’	2.30	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manly Utd (W) 2–1–1 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Australia New South Wales Cup Women	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Manly Utd (W)
26/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	Manly Utd (W)
08/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Manly Utd (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
09/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-5 HT 1-3	Manly Utd (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	20	15	4	1	57	20	49
2	University NSW (W)	20	13	6	1	41	15	45
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	20	14	1	5	52	26	43
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	20	11	4	5	37	26	37
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	20	9	3	8	34	27	30
6	Manly Utd (W)	20	7	8	5	32	25	29
7	Sydney University (W)	20	8	5	7	43	37	29
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	20	7	4	9	29	35	25
9	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	20	7	3	10	34	36	24
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	20	6	4	10	28	35	22
11	Hills United FC (W)	20	6	2	12	23	30	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	20	5	2	13	27	71	17
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	20	3	6	11	17	33	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	20	2	2	16	19	57	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manly Utd (W)	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Hills United FC (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
University NSW (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Gladesville Ravens (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
APIA Leichardt (W)	1-2 L	3-2 W
Northern Tigers FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	2-2 D	2-0 W
Macarthur Rams (W)	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Manly Utd (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Manly Utd (W)

WDDDDLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
15/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
12/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
05/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
28/06	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-2	3	0	L
20/06	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
14/06	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
31/05	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
27/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

WLWWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	3-5	2	2	L
15/07	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
12/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	7	1	L
05/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	10	1	D
21/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
14/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
07/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
31/05	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
27/05	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
24/05	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	3-2	3	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manly Utd (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Manly Utd (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Manly Utd (W) 39%, draw 26%, Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Manly Utd (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Manly Utd (W) 1.51 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1.44), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Manly Utd (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.