Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 18/07, 10:30

Prediction: Northern Tigers FC (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Northern Tigers FC (W)2.42

Western City Rangers (W)1.06

1X2

67% 19% 14%

Northern Tigers FC (W) Draw Western City Rangers (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Northern Tigers FC (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Western City Rangers (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Northern Tigers FC (W) 1–1–1 Western City Rangers (W) (3 last)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northern Tigers FC (W) (rating 1534 vs 1385).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Northern Tigers FC (W)	Western City Rangers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	0.7 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.3 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.97

Under 3.51.79

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.32▲	Pinn 1.32
X	5.39 → 5.12▼	Pinn 5.12
2	7.09 → 6.52▼	Pinn 6.52

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:05	1.28	5.39	7.09
01:05	1.32▲	5.12▼	6.52▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Northern Tigers FC (W) 1–1–1 Western City Rangers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western City Rangers (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Northern Tigers FC (W)
21/08/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Northern Tigers FC (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Western City Rangers (W)
04/05/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	Western City Rangers (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Northern Tigers FC (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	19	14	4	1	52	17	46
2	University NSW (W)	19	13	5	1	39	13	44
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	19	14	1	4	51	24	43
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	19	11	4	4	34	21	37
5	Sydney University (W)	19	8	4	7	41	35	28
6	Northern Tigers FC (W)	19	8	3	8	31	26	27
7	Manly Utd (W)	19	6	8	5	30	24	26
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	19	7	3	9	27	33	24
9	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	19	6	3	10	32	35	21
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	19	6	3	10	26	33	21
11	Hills United FC (W)	19	6	2	11	22	28	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	19	5	1	13	26	70	16
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	19	3	5	11	16	32	14
14	Western City Rangers (W)	19	2	2	15	18	54	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Northern Tigers FC (W)	Western City Rangers (W)
University NSW (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
NWS Spirit (W)	1-2 L	0-4 L
Manly Utd (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Gladesville Ravens (W)	0-1 L	0-6 L
APIA Leichardt (W)	4-1 W	1-5 L
Bulls FC Academy (W)	0-2 L	0-4 L
Macarthur Rams (W)	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Northern Tigers FC (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Northern Tigers FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
04/07	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
27/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
20/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
14/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	3-0	3	2	W
07/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
31/05	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	4-1	1	2	W
26/05	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	1-0	3-0	9	0	W
23/05	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
17/05	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	2-3	1	2	L

Western City Rangers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-3	1-5	8	4	L
05/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-2	2-5	6	0	L
21/06	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-4	0-6	9	3	L
13/06	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
06/06	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
31/05	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
24/05	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
17/05	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
10/05	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	0-1	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Northern Tigers FC (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Northern Tigers FC (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Northern Tigers FC (W) 67%, draw 19%, Western City Rangers (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Northern Tigers FC (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Northern Tigers FC (W) 2.42 · Western City Rangers (W) 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Northern Tigers FC (W) vs Western City Rangers (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.