Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 14/08, 12:30

Prediction: Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues

Team pages: Eltham Redbacks · Manningham United Blues

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Eltham Redbacks2.28

Manningham United Blues1.78

1X2

49% 21% 30%

Eltham Redbacks Draw Manningham United Blues

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eltham Redbacks 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Manningham United Blues 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Eltham Redbacks 0–1 Manningham United Blues (1 last)

Manningham United Blues2-1Eltham Redbacks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eltham Redbacks 1468 · Manningham United Blues 1444

	Eltham Redbacks	Draw	Manningham United Blues
Our model	49%	21%	30%
Market	49%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eltham Redbacks	Manningham United Blues
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	1.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	2.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +2’	1.83	4.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eltham Redbacks 0–0–1 Manningham United Blues

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Manningham United Blues	2-1 HT 1-0	Eltham Redbacks

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	23	16	2	5	46	19	50
2	Northcote City	23	14	4	5	41	24	46
3	Brunswick Juventus	23	15	1	7	44	30	46
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	23	12	4	7	52	35	40
5	Bulleen Lions	23	11	6	6	44	30	39
6	FC Melbourne Srbija	23	11	2	10	27	24	35
7	Eltham Redbacks	23	9	5	9	49	39	32
8	Brunswick City	23	9	3	11	45	47	30
9	Manningham United Blues	23	9	3	11	38	47	30
10	North Geelong	23	9	1	13	33	47	28
11	Western United FC NPL	23	8	1	14	46	63	25
12	Langwarrin	23	6	5	12	40	53	23
13	North Sunshine Eagles	23	5	5	13	29	38	20
14	Port Melbourne SC	23	4	4	15	13	51	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eltham Redbacks	Manningham United Blues
Northcote City	0-1 L	3-3 D
North Sunshine Eagles	1-1 D	2-2 D
North Geelong	3-1 W	2-3 L
Langwarrin	6-1 W	1-4 L
Western United FC NPL	3-4 L	3-4 L
Brunswick City	1-3 L	1-3 L
Bulleen Lions	2-2 D	2-1 W
Brunswick Juventus	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Manningham United Blues (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eltham Redbacks

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
24/07	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
18/07	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
11/07	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
04/07	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-1	6-1	6	2	W
19/06	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-3	3-4	5	2	L
12/06	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-3	8	7	L
05/06	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	2-2	2	1	D
30/05	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-2	9	3	L
22/05	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	3-3	8	7	D

Manningham United Blues

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	11	8	L
25/07	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-5	1-5	2	2	L
17/07	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-3	3-3	3	1	D
04/07	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1	2-0	2-2	2	10	D
20/06	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-3	7	7	L
13/06	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	1-4	6	3	L
06/06	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-2	3-4	3	5	L
29/05	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-3	9	0	L
23/05	Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	2-1	5	10	W
16/05	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eltham Redbacks win (49%). Probabilities: Eltham Redbacks 49%, draw 21%, Manningham United Blues 30%.

How many goals are expected in Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Eltham Redbacks 2.28 · Manningham United Blues 1.78), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Eltham Redbacks vs Manningham United Blues?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.