Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 15/08, 11:30
Prediction: Brunswick Juventus vs FC Melbourne Srbija
Team pages: Brunswick Juventus · FC Melbourne Srbija
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Brunswick Juventus1.77
FC Melbourne Srbija1.12
1X2
Brunswick Juventus
Draw
FC Melbourne Srbija
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brunswick Juventus
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Melbourne Srbija
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Brunswick Juventus
0–3
FC Melbourne Srbija
(3 last)
- FC Melbourne Srbija1-0Brunswick Juventus
- FC Melbourne Srbija3-1Brunswick Juventus
- Brunswick Juventus0-3FC Melbourne Srbija
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brunswick Juventus 1547 · FC Melbourne Srbija 1559
| Brunswick Juventus | Draw | FC Melbourne Srbija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Melbourne Srbija: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brunswick Juventus | FC Melbourne Srbija | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brunswick Juventus 0–0–3 FC Melbourne Srbija
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 01/06/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Brunswick Juventus |
| 08/03/24 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Melbourne Srbija |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Northcote City | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 40 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 48 | 31 | 37 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 28 | 33 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 35 | 32 |
| 7 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 42 | 30 |
| 9 | North Geelong | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 28 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 45 | 24 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 51 | 20 |
| 12 | North Sunshine Eagles | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 17 |
| 13 | Port Melbourne SC | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 48 | 15 |
| 14 | Western United FC NPL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brunswick Juventus | FC Melbourne Srbija |
|---|---|---|
| North Sunshine Eagles | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| North Geelong | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Langwarrin | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Western United FC NPL | 5-4 W | 3-0 W |
| Brunswick City | 7-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Brunswick Juventus (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brunswick Juventus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Preston Lions Australia Cup |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Marlin Coast Rangers Australia Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 5-4 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-0 | 7-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
FC Melbourne Srbija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 7 | L |
| 03/07 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brunswick Juventus vs FC Melbourne Srbija?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brunswick Juventus win (52%). Probabilities: Brunswick Juventus 52%, draw 24%, FC Melbourne Srbija 23%.
How many goals are expected in Brunswick Juventus vs FC Melbourne Srbija?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Brunswick Juventus 1.77 · FC Melbourne Srbija 1.12), with a 59% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brunswick Juventus vs FC Melbourne Srbija?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.