Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 15/08, 06:00
Prediction: Port Melbourne SC vs Melbourne Knights
Team pages: Port Melbourne SC · Melbourne Knights
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Port Melbourne SC0.62
Melbourne Knights2.54
1X2
Port Melbourne SC
Draw
Melbourne Knights
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Port Melbourne SC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Melbourne Knights
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Port Melbourne SC
2–1–3
Melbourne Knights
(6 last)
- Melbourne Knights2-0Port Melbourne SC
- Port Melbourne SC2-2Melbourne Knights
- Melbourne Knights3-0Port Melbourne SC
- Port Melbourne SC2-0Melbourne Knights
- Melbourne Knights1-3Port Melbourne SC
- Melbourne Knights2-0Port Melbourne SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Port Melbourne SC 1441 · Melbourne Knights 1577
| Port Melbourne SC | Draw | Melbourne Knights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 8% | 13% | 79% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melbourne Knights (rating 1441 vs 1577).
- H2H favours Melbourne Knights: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Port Melbourne SC | Melbourne Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.8 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Port Melbourne SC 2–1–3 Melbourne Knights
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1 | Melbourne Knights | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Port Melbourne SC |
| 13/06/25 Australia NPL Victoria | Port Melbourne SC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Melbourne Knights |
| 09/03/25 Australia NPL Victoria | Melbourne Knights | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Port Melbourne SC |
| 25/05/24 Australia NPL Victoria | Port Melbourne SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Melbourne Knights |
| 16/02/24 Australia NPL Victoria | Melbourne Knights | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Port Melbourne SC |
| 25/08/23 Australia NPL Victoria | Melbourne Knights | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Port Melbourne SC |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 19 | 50 |
| 2 | Northcote City | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 23 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 30 | 46 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory NPL | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 40 |
| 5 | Bulleen Lions | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 44 | 30 | 39 |
| 6 | FC Melbourne Srbija | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 7 | Eltham Redbacks | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 39 | 32 |
| 8 | Brunswick City | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 45 | 47 | 30 |
| 9 | Manningham United Blues | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 47 | 30 |
| 10 | North Geelong | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 47 | 28 |
| 11 | Western United FC NPL | 23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 63 | 25 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 38 | 20 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne SC | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 51 | 16 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Port Melbourne SC | Melbourne Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Manningham United Blues | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Northcote City | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Melbourne Srbija | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| North Sunshine Eagles | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| North Geelong | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Western United FC NPL | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Brunswick City | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Bulleen Lions | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Brunswick Juventus | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Melbourne Knights (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Port Melbourne SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 25/07 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/07 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/06 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Melbourne Knights
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
5-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Bulleen Lions Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | North Sunshine Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 01/06 | Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Port Melbourne SC vs Melbourne Knights?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Melbourne Knights win (79%). Probabilities: Port Melbourne SC 7%, draw 14%, Melbourne Knights 79%.
How many goals are expected in Port Melbourne SC vs Melbourne Knights?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Port Melbourne SC 0.62 · Melbourne Knights 2.54), with a 59% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Port Melbourne SC vs Melbourne Knights?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.