Football · Australia Victoria Premier League 1 · 17/08, 12:30

Prediction: Bulleen Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles

Team pages: Bulleen Lions · North Sunshine Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Bulleen Lions1.69

North Sunshine Eagles1.24

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Bulleen Lions Draw North Sunshine Eagles

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bulleen Lions 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLDWWW

North Sunshine Eagles 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bulleen Lions 2–1 North Sunshine Eagles (3 last)

North Sunshine Eagles0-1Bulleen Lions
North Sunshine Eagles2-1Bulleen Lions
Bulleen Lions6-1North Sunshine Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulleen Lions 1550 · North Sunshine Eagles 1471

	Bulleen Lions	Draw	North Sunshine Eagles
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulleen Lions (rating 1550 vs 1471).
H2H favours Bulleen Lions: 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulleen Lions	North Sunshine Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.7	2.2 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 11:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.90 ★
X	4.75 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
2	4.75 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.16

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:55 +25’	1.44	4.75	4.75
15:33 +21’	1.65▲	4.20▼	3.70▼
20:23 +5’	1.61▼	4.33▲	3.90▲
23:16 +1’	1.73▲	4.10▼	3.40▼
08:41 +1’	1.75▲	4.10	3.30▼
11:17 +7’	1.83▲	4.10	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +6’	1.63	4.25	3.81
23:16 +1’	1.80▲	4.00▼	3.27▼
01:52	1.81▲	4.03▲	3.29▲
03:16	1.77▼	4.07▲	3.36▲
07:50 +1’	1.70▼	4.14▲	3.54▲
08:41	1.81▲	3.97▼	3.30▼
10:24 +2’	1.89▲	3.91▼	3.10▼
11:23 +1’	1.90▲	4.02▲	3.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulleen Lions 2–0–1 North Sunshine Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	North Sunshine Eagles	0-1 HT 0-0	Bulleen Lions
07/06/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	North Sunshine Eagles	2-1 HT 0-0	Bulleen Lions
03/03/25 Australia Victoria Premier League 1	Bulleen Lions	6-1 HT 2-0	North Sunshine Eagles

Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melbourne Knights	22	15	3	4	41	15	48
2	Brunswick Juventus	22	13	2	7	37	25	41
3	Northcote City	21	12	4	5	35	22	40
4	Melbourne Victory NPL	21	11	4	6	48	31	37
5	Bulleen Lions	21	9	6	6	38	28	33
6	FC Melbourne Srbija	22	10	3	9	25	24	33
7	Eltham Redbacks	22	9	5	8	49	35	32
8	Manningham United Blues	22	9	3	10	32	42	30
9	North Geelong	23	9	1	13	31	48	28
10	Brunswick City	22	8	3	11	40	45	27
11	Langwarrin	22	5	5	12	37	51	20
12	North Sunshine Eagles	22	4	5	13	26	36	17
13	Port Melbourne SC	22	4	4	14	12	49	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulleen Lions	North Sunshine Eagles
Brunswick Juventus	5-1 W	0-0 D
Melbourne Victory NPL	2-4 L	0-1 L
Eltham Redbacks	2-2 D	1-1 D
Port Melbourne SC	1-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: North Sunshine Eagles (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bulleen Lions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	4-0	0	6	W
27/07	Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
19/07	Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	4-2	6	3	W
13/07	Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-1	8	4	D
03/07	Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
19/06	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-1	5-1	0	4	W
16/06	Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
13/06	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-4	10	3	L
05/06	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-2	8	1	D
01/06	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-0	9	3	W

North Sunshine Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
01/08	Brunswick Juventus Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
27/07	Melbourne Victory NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
18/07	Eltham Redbacks Australia Victoria Premier League 1	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
15/07	White City FK Beograd Australia Cup	0-0	3-2	4	5	W
11/07	Port Melbourne SC Australia Victoria Premier League 1	3-0	5-0	8	1	W
07/07	Preston Lions Australia Victoria Cup	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
04/07	Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-2	2-2	8	10	D
20/06	Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
13/06	FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1	0-0	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulleen Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulleen Lions win (48%). Probabilities: Bulleen Lions 48%, draw 24%, North Sunshine Eagles 28%.

How many goals are expected in Bulleen Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Bulleen Lions 1.69 · North Sunshine Eagles 1.24), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulleen Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.